College Football Betting Analysis - August 30
Gambling911.com looks at potential value in college football betting lines and totals based on a number of factors for games played Saturday August 30, 2025.
Saturday August 30
LSU vs. Clemson
We get a number of Clemson 2.19 but there is an overlay detected as the actual line comes in at -4.5 (previously -3). Action was about 60% on Clemson.
Overlays when the number has stayed just above the 3 have gone 84% in favor of the underdog in our two-year model sampling.
Winners and Whiners, as well as a few other top handicapping sites we follow, were very much on Clemson here. Cappers we follow who just give their picks without analyses were overwhelmingly backing Clemson as well.
The Clemson Tigers and LSU Tigers are two of the elite programs in the country. Both teams will still be favored to make the College Football Playoffs regardless of the outcome on Saturday night. The odds shift to Clemson in this one for a few reasons. Clemson is an amazing 61-2 in Death Valley over the past ten seasons. They also have the edge in returning players this season, with 16 starters returning from last year's team. Clemson quarterback Klubnik will be starting under center for the third season and is an effective two-way quarterback, capable of beating teams with his legs as well as his arms. The Clemson front four could have a field day in this one against an LSU line that is replacing some key pieces from last year. LSU quarterback Nussmeier can sling it, but he is also prone to mistakes. In this environment, with a rowdy, hostile crowd, one or two mistakes could cost his team. I'm banking on that to decide this game.
Because our model goes against these capper picks, we will be sitting this one out following a nice win with Ohio State earlier.
Texas vs. Ohio State
All eyes on Texas vs. Ohio State, one of the hottest games of the new season that just happens to be taking place at the start of the first big Saturday of 2025.
The Longhorns continued to see lopsided action that drove the number from Buckeyes -3 to a Pick'em before shifting back to Ohio State -1.5 by Saturday morning. Things that make you go hmmmmmmm.
71% of the money was still on Texas here.
Gambling911.com was all over Ohio State as a PICK'EM, having announced its decision to back the Buckeyes on Friday.
We actually get a line of Ohio State -5.5 for this one, indicating quite an underlay. Favorites in our sampling where there's an underlay and the line has stayed between the 3 and 1 have performed especially well over the last two years.
Friday August 29
Auburn vs. Baylor
Auburn has moved from a -2.5 favorite down to -1. Action is balanced here.
We've identified an underlay on this game as the Tigers should be at -4.
Favorites in where the line has moved from 3 down where there is an underlay have performed especially well over the last two years.
From The Action Network:
The experience of Auburn's offensive line could be the key difference in keeping Arnold upright. The Tigers have more than 140 combined offensive line starts, good enough to rank seventh among all FBS teams.
Auburn's addition of Durrell Robinson from UConn as the primary running back will help with the loss of Jarquez Hunter.
Arnold should also thrive after posting a 27% pressure-to-sack ratio at Oklahoma last year. Jackson and the revamped Auburn receiving corps will be the difference in this contest.
Thursday August 28
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
We've seen the line here drop from Nebraska -7 to -6 with as much as 74% of the action on the Huskers. That line movement goes against the public backing, which makes our mouths water over Cincinnati.
We have an underlay here with our number coming in at 7.78. This bodes well for the favorite with our model.
Winners and Whiners pick:
The script is perfect; the Patrick Mahomes look-alike gets to play his opening game in Arrowhead Stadium on ESPN. All jokes aside, Raiola is the better quarterback, and Nebraska has the stronger roster and will grab a win here. Raiola was once the top-rated quarterback in the nation as a high school senior. He took some lumps his freshman year, but now has experience to match his talent as he will have these Cornhuskers ready to compete in the Big Ten. Cincinnati lost too much, they sent their running back to the NFL, and hope a batch of transfer receivers can mesh with Sorsby in the passing game. They won't be ready for the opener, as Nebraska is too strong and gets the cover here.
They are taking Nebraska to win and cover.
Top capping sites we follow are mixed, with some liking Nebraska on the spread, others Cincinnati.
Gambling911.com Free Picks Record (45-34-2)
August 30 - Texas Longhorns vs. Ohio State Buckeyes - Buckeyes PICK'EM (WIN)
August 29 - Auburn Tigers vs. Baylor Bayors - Auburn Tigers -2.5 (WIN)
August 29 - Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets - Under 7.5 (LOSS)
August 28 - No Picks
August 27 - Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles - Under 9 (WIN)
August 26 - No Picks
August 25 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians - Under 7.5 (WIN)
August 24 - No Picks
August 23 - Iowa State vs. Kansas State - Kansas State -3 (LOSS)
August 21 - Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees - Yankees -142 (LOSS)
August 20 - Seattle Mariners vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Over 8.5 (WIN)
August 19 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Under 7.5 (LOSS)
August 17 - No Picks
August 16 - Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays - Blue Jays -165 (WIN)
August 16 - Miami Marlins vs. Boston Red Sox - Under 9.5 (LOSS)
August 15 - - No Picks
August 14 - Chicago Cubs vs. Toronto Blue Jays - Blue Jays -103 (WIN)
August 13 - No Picks
August 12 - No Picks
August 11 - San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants - Under 7 (WIN)
August 10 - Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox - Guardians -122 (LOSS)
August 10 - New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers - Under 8 (LOSS)
August 9 - Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins - Under 8.5 (WIN)
August 8 - Phillies vs. Rangers - Under 7 (LOSS)
August 8 - Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Reds -118 (LOSS)
August 7 - No Picks
August 6 - No Picks
August 5 - St. Louis Cardinals vs. LA Dodgers - Over 9 (WIN)
August 5 - Athletics vs. Washington Nationals - Athletics +112 (WIN)
August 5 - Athletics vs. Washington Nationals - Over 8.5 (WIN)
August 4 - San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks -125 (LOSS)
August 3 - New York Yankees vs. Miami Marlins - Marlins +103 (WIN)
August 2 - LA Dodgers vs. Tampa Bay Rays - Rays +104 (WIN)
August 1 - Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox - Over 8 (LOSS)
July 30 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles - Over 9.5 (WIN)
July 30 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles - Blue Jays +103 (WIN)
July 29 - No Picks
July 28 - Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Under 8 (LOSS)
July 28 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Over 9.5 (WIN)
July 27 - No Picks Today
July 26 - No Picks Today
July 25 - LA Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox - Red Sox -102 (LOSS)
July 24 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers - Tigers -130 (LOSS)
July 23 - Boston Red Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Red Sox +146 (WIN)
July 22 - No Picks Today
July 21 - San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves - Giants +118 (LOSS)
July 20 - Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers - Under 7 (WIN)
July 19 - New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Braves - Braves +112 (LOSS)
July 18 - No Picks Today
July 13 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - Red Sox -115 (WIN)
July 12 - No Picks Today
July 11 - Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros - Rangers +108 (WIN)
July 10 - No Picks Today
July 9 - Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds - Reds -136 (WIN)
July 8 - No Picks Today
July 7 - Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros - Guardians +118 (WIN)
July 6 - St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs - Under 7.5 (LOSS)
July 5 - Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants - Under 9 (PUSH)
July 4 - St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs - Under 9.5 (LOSS)
July 3 - No Picks Today
July 2 - No Picks Today
July 1 - Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers - Under 7.5(LOSS)
June 29 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves - Braves -157 (LOSS)
June 28 - Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - Marlins +136 (WIN)
June 27 - Athletics vs. New York Yankees - Under 8.5 (WIN)
June 26 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians - Guardians -130 (LOSS)
June 26 - Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins - Under 8.5 (LOSS)
June 24 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals - Under 8.5 (WIN)
June 22 - Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics - Athletics +105 (LOSS)
June 22 - Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Under 215 (WIN)
June 21 - Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Under 8.5 (WIN)
June 19 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins - Under 8 (WIN)
June 18 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins - Miami Marlins +146 (LOSS)
June 17 - No Picks Today
June 16 - Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5(WIN)
June 15 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays +143 (LOSS)
June 15 - Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals - Under 7.5 (WIN)
June 14 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays +140 (LOSS)
June 13 - Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves - Under 8.5 (LOSS)
June 12 - No Picks Today
June 11 - No Picks Today
June 10 - Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Under 8 (WIN)
June 8 - LA Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals - St. Louis Cardinals +108 (LOSS)
June 7 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Pittsburgh Pirates +124 (WIN)
June 6 - Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox - Chicago White Sox +160 (WIN)
June 4 - Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners - Baltimore Orioles Even (WIN)
June 2 - Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins - Under 8 (LOSS)
June 1 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros - Tampa Bay Rays +144 (LOSS)
May 30 - Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets - Under 8 (WIN)
May 29 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros - Under 8 (LOSS)
May 26 - Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs - Under 8 (WIN)
May 25 - Miami Marlins vs. LA Angels - Miami Marlins +117 (WIN)
May 24 - Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Under 9 (WIN)
May 16 - Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks - Boston Celtics +2.5 (LOSS)
May 13 - Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder -10 (LOSS)
May 8 - LA Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Under 9 (WIN)
May 7 - New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics - New York Knicks +10.5 (WIN)
May 1 - Denver Nuggets vs. LA Clippers - LA Clippers -6 (PUSH)
April 29 - Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers - Milwaukee Bucks +8 (WIN)
April 25 - LA Lakers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - Minnesota Timberwolves -3.5 (WIN)
April 19 - Minnesota Timberwolves vs. LA Lakers - Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5 (WIN)
April 6 - New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Pittsburgh Pirates +138 (WIN)
April 5 - Houston Cougars vs. Duke Blue Devils - Houston Cougars +5 (WIN)
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
