Bijan Robinson Total Rushing Yards vs. Cowboys Prop Bet

Written by:
Guest
Published on:
Nov/02/2024

Bijan Robinson was listed with a total rushing yards Over/Under of 74.5 versus the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday for this Week 9 game.

Robinson had 13 rushes for 63 yards in the Falcons’ Week 8 win against the Bucs, adding six catches for 37 yards and a touchdown.

NBC Edge notes: "It’s Robinson’s fourth touchdown over his past three games as the Falcons’ lead back. His involvement in the team’s passing offense makes Robinson immune to funky game script, even if he sometimes loses green zone snaps and carries to big back Tyler Allgeier. Robinson now has at least three receptions in five straight outings. In a run-first Falcons offense, Robinson shapes up as an elite play for Week 9 against the Cowboys."

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Line Analysis and Action

  • Opening Line - Atlanta opened as a -2 home favorite.
  • Line Trend - The line has moved from -2 to -3.
  • Sagarin Number -  Sagarin gives us a number of Atlanta 1.79.
  • Action - Action was 63% Dallas

Historic Comparables

  • Seahawks +3/+2.5 Falcons (Falcons 2.13 On The Money) - Underdog covers.
  • Cowboys +2.5 Steelers (Steelers On The Money) - Underdog covers.
  • Vikings +2 to +3 Packers (Packers 2.75 On The Money) - Underdog covers.

And we had this one:

  • Ravens +2.5 to +3 Chiefs (Chiefs 2.95 On The Money) - Favorite covers.

Cowboys Player to Watch

QB Dak Prescott has thrown multiple interceptions in three consecutive games for the first time in his career. The two picks in each of those games give him eight, and he had as many interceptions as touchdown passes for the season before two fourth-quarter scoring tosses to CeeDee Lamb in the loss to the 49ers. The rash of interceptions has coincided with Dallas having difficulty taking the ball away. The Cowboys have forced just two turnovers in the past five games and are tied for 28th in the NFL with five for the season.

Falcons Player to Watch

Safety Jessie Bates III continues to deliver big plays in crucial situations to lead the Atlanta defense. Bates had his second interception of the season in last week's win over Tampa Bay and also delivered a forced fumble and fumble recovery. Bates has three forced fumbles this season.

Key Matchup

Dallas WR Lamb vs. Atlanta CB A.J. Terrell Jr. Lamb is Prescott's favorite option with team-leading totals of 45 receptions for 613 yards and four touchdowns. Lamb's 72 targets are 30 more than tight end Jake Ferguson's runner-up total of 42. Terrell will have help from cornerbacks Mike Hughes, Clark Phillips III and Dee Alford. Terrell, who signed a four-year contract extension for a reported $81 million before the season, is tied with Bates for the team lead with two interceptions.

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