College Football Betting Action, Line Movement Monitor for September 19, 2023

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Sep/19/2023

Week 3 opinion games went 6-1.  These are games where the oddsmakers move a number to encourage even more lopsided action on one side.  For example, FSU was seeing better than 70% of the public action against Boston College, yet oddsmakers moved the number to make the line more favorable for the Noles.

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These were those games with only Duke the big public favorite coming through:

Duke -19.5 to 16.5 Northwestern – 78% to 86% - Duke wins by 24 

Toldeo – -8.5 to –7 San Jose State – 79 to 80% - Toledo wins by just 4  

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FSU –28 to –25.5 Boston College 70% to 73% - FSU only wins by 3 

Arkansas –10.5 to –8.5 BYU – 66 to 73% - BYU upset by 7 

Eastern Michigan –9.5 to –7 MASS 61 to 72% - EMU only wins by 2  

Cincinnati –16 to –14.5 Miami Ohio 65 to 68% - Cincinnati wins by just 7 

UGA -27.5 to 26.5 South Carolina – 61 to 63% - UGA only wins by 10 

Three Marquee Games Seeing the Most Action Early

  • Florida State PK to -2.5 Clemson
  • Colorado +16.5 to +21 Oregon
  • Ohio State -3 to -3.5 Notre Dame

A close examination of these three games shows that action was especially heavy at greater than 80% on FSU.  That line was moving in reaction to this early lopsided volume. 

In the Buffs-Ducks game, early public love is on Colorado.  The line though is encouraging more action on the Buffaloes (+16.5 to +21).  It's a tough pill to swallow, but Ducks may have this one.

Notre Dame is also getting much of the early public support (78%) yet the line has moved from +3 to +3.5, making Ohio State an enticing play, at least early on.

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com  

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