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Michigan comes into New Brunswick as a -7 road favorite against Rutgers after opening at -5.
The Scarlet Knights have gone 8-2 at home. Rutgers averages 76.6 points while outscoring opponents by 1.6 points per game.
The Wolverines are 7-2 in Big Ten play. Michigan ranks fourth in the Big Ten shooting 37.0% from 3-point range.
Rutgers' average of 7.3 made 3-pointers per game this season is only 0.2 more made shots on average than the 7.1 per game Michigan gives up. Michigan has shot at a 49.9% rate from the field this season, 5.1 percentage points higher than the 44.8% shooting opponents of Rutgers have averaged.
The matchup Saturday is the first meeting this season for the two teams in conference play.
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Before You Bet
- Rutgers is 4-1 Against The Spread in their last five games overall.
- One can argue that Michigan is due for a cover as they haven't done so in their last five games overall.
- Ace odds have kept the number at -6.5 despite 65% of the action on Michigan.
- Michigan doesn’t have much of an interior threat, especially if Goldin isn’t healthy. The Wolverine guards aren’t cutting it, and Tre Donaldson has looked uneasy in ball screens (Action Network)
- Rutgers head coach Steve Pikiell knows his defense. He and the Scarlet Knights will be well prepared, especially because Michigan is such an easy scout right now (Action Network)
- Top cappers are all over the Wolverines here.
- Rutgers is just 11th in the conference in turnover margin, and even if Harper can go, they'll have issues protecting the basketball against the Wolverines. Additionally, the Wolverines' 2nd ranked field goal shooting will have a field day against a Rutgers team that is just 15th in the Big Ten in field goal defense and 17th in points allowed. (Winners and Whiners)
We like Michigan here -6.5 based on some of the stats, but also because they are really due a cover.
The one thing we don't like is that the recreational books were keeping this one on the -6.5 Wolverines with the public backing Michigan at a 60% or greater clip.
Our play is on Michigan -6.5.
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