Can Oregon Really Cover the 21-Point Spread Against Colorado?

Written by:
Tony Caliente
Published on:
Sep/20/2023

Colorado versus Oregon will likely be the most wagered on game in college football this week despite the lopsided spread.

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Oddsmakers do have a powerful opinion on this game.  Despite better than 60 percent of the action still coming in on the Buffaloes as of Wednesday morning, the line has moved from Ducks -16.5 to -21.  Sagarin suggests that's a near 11-point overlay.  But these types of overlays of 5 or greater have been going the way of the favorite since the start of the season.

So far, two of the Gambling911.com Hub sports handicappers have selections for this game and both are on the Ducks at -21.  Diego Garcia is among those backing Oregon and he's 5-1 with his last six college football picks.

Oregon's Tez Johnson caught a 49-yard scoring pass from Nix on the first series of the game and No. 13 Oregon went on to beat Hawaii 55-10 on Saturday night.

“It’s definitely special. I’m definitely excited for him. I’ve been able to watch him grow up and develop,” Nix said. “Proud of him. Proud of his work ethic. Now he’s going to really continue to push and grow himself, continue to get better and not settle.”

Jordan James ran for a pair of touchdowns for the Ducks, who entered that game ranked No. 13 in the nation.  They come into their game against Colorado ranked No. 11 at ESPN, which writes of Oregon:

"After battling for a close win against Texas Tech last week away from home, the Ducks welcomed Hawai'i to Eugene and seemed to get back on track in every facet of the game as they blew out the Rainbow Warriors 55-10. Bo Nix led the way throwing for 247 yards and three touchdowns with only six incompletions, and the Ducks' running game provided balance with 201 yards. Oregon's defense, meanwhile, held Hawai'i to 59 rushing yards and only 201 total yards of offense. It was a complete performance for a team that needed it as they welcome a surging Colorado team to Autzen Stadium."

No. 18 ranked Colorado has gone 3-0 on the season thus far but it took double overtime to get the job done against interstate rival Colorado State late Saturday.  That game drew a record 9.3 million viewers for that time period.

Coach Deion Sanders’ Colorado team did not kick off until after 10 p.m. Eastern and did not secure the victory until about 2:30 a.m.  That broadcast window for ESPN college football averaged about 1.7 million viewers last year

This was also  ESPN’s fifth most-watched regular-season game ever on the network for any time slot.

Shedeur Sanders threw a TD pass to Michael Harrison in the second overtime after leading the drive to tie the game with 36 seconds remaining in the fourth quarter and No. 18 Colorado rallied to beat Colorado State 43-35. Sanders finished with 348 yards, four TDs and one interception for the Buffaloes.

“We showed that we have no surrender or give-up in us,” Buffaloes coach Deion Sanders said. “They never doubted themselves.”

Travis Hunter suffered a lacerated liver due to a late hit  and will be out for three to four weeks.

- Tony Caliente, Gambling911.com

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