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Bookie vs. Bettor - Thunder vs. Rockets

Written by:
Guest
Published on:
Apr/07/2018

Tony Caliente here with the Thunder-Rockets betting line, coming in at Houston -6.  There's a bit of an underlay detected here with the NBA Betting Power Ratings indicating this one should be at -7.5.

The Thunder have won half of their last ten games while covering in 40% while Houston is 9-1 Straight Up in their last ten and covering the spread at a 50% clip.

Houston leads the league overall with a 64-15 record but is a mere four wins above the .500 mark Against The Spread.

So far, having reviewed the Power Ratings, the Rockets would appear to have an edge.  But next stop would be a look at who the public is backing. 

60% of the action is on the Thunder, presumably based on the theory that Oklahoma City will be out for revenge.  They lost at home against Houston their last meeting by 10 points.  In five previous games the Thunder either won or covered within the current spread of six. 

The Rockets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Northwest.

The Thunder are just 4-13 Against The Spread in the last 17 meetings.

For this one I would typically yield to the Power Ratings, but a part of me believes Houston doesn't play to its fullest against a capable OKC team as they have already clinched home field advantage.  The revenge factor also plays a more signficant role here, not to mention OKC wanting to secure their Playoffs berth. Thunder -6 should be a good bet here

Date Time # Team Spread Total Money Line
NBA - Apr 07
04/07/2018 701 DENVER NUGGETS -2½-110 o221½-110 -140
12:35:00 702 LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS +2½-110 u221½-110 +120
04/07/2018 703 MILWAUKEE BUCKS -9½-110 o215½-110 -548
16:35:00 704 NEW YORK KNICKS +9½-110 u215½-110 +428
04/07/2018 705 BROOKLYN NETS -6-110 o218-110 -240
17:05:00 706 CHICAGO BULLS +6-110 u218-110 +200
04/07/2018 707 NEW ORLEANS PELICANS +6-110 o224½-110 +220
17:35:00 708 GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS -6-110 u224½-110 -260
04/07/2018 709 OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER +6-110 o219-110 +210
17:35:00 710 HOUSTON ROCKETS -6-110 u219-110 -250
04/07/2018 711 PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS +5-110 o202½-110 +170
18:05:00 712 SAN ANTONIO SPURS -5-110 u202½-110 -200

- Tony Caliente, Gambling911.com

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