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NFL Betting – Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs

Written by:
Phil Simon
Published on:
Dec/04/2020

At least the Denver Broncos will have an NFL quarterback on the field for their Sunday Night Football matchup with the Kansas City Chiefs. It might not matter, though. Playing with a practice squad receiver behind center for most of last week’s game with New Orleans, the Broncos lost for the third time in four games, 31-3. Three QBs were sequestered after close contact with someone who tested positive for COVID leaving the team in dire straits; the result was as expected. The Chiefs have their quarterback, and he’s pretty good. Patrick Mahomes leads the NFL in passing yards and touchdowns entering Week 13. The Chiefs hit the board as a two-touchdown favorite on the NFL betting line.  Bookmaker.eu offers a generous welcome bonus (max bonus $1600).

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
Date and Time: Sunday, December 6, 2020, 8:20 p.m. ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
NFL Odds: Kansas City -14 O/U 51
Broncos at Chiefs TV Coverage: NBC

Odds Analysis

You can’t use last week’s game as any form of measuring stick for the Broncos. It went pretty much as expected considering the circumstances. Denver did little on offense failing to cover the 17-point spread in the 31-3 setback to the Saints. Now that they have a quarterback with Drew Lock expected to start after negative virus tests, the Broncos are once again facing a double-digit spread catching 14-points. While they are just 4-7 SU, the Broncos have covered six times while cashing the under in their previous three outings. Laying double digits is nothing new for the Chiefs, who will do so for the fifth time this season. They are 2-2 ATS in the previous four while failing to cover in their last three games overall, which they won by a combined nine points. The teams met in Denver in Week 7 with KC getting a 43-16 payout for their 10th straight triumph in the series. The Chiefs are 9-1 ATS in those games.

Denver Broncos

The good news is that the Broncos will have a quarterback after last week’s fiasco. Lock has cleared hurdles by testing negative throughout the week and took first-team reps in practice. It won’t take much to improve on last week’s numbers, but the Broncos are going to need a lot more if they want to end their 10-game losing streak to the Chiefs. The Broncos totaled just 112 yards and avoided their first ever home shutout on a 58-yard Brandon McManus field goal.

Offense has been a problem all season with the Broncos averaging just 325.2 yards and the second-fewest points per game with 19.0. Lock entered the year as the starter after a strong finish to last season. He was injured early in the year, missed a few games and has been inconsistent since. He’s completed just 55.6 percent of his throws with seven touchdowns and 11 interceptions. His pick total is tied for the second-highest in the league despite having far fewer attempts.

While the score didn’t indicate it, the Broncos played a strong game defensively last week holding the Saints to 292 total yards. The group eventually wore down being on the field for nearly 36 minutes conceding 229 rushing yards. They held Mahomes to 200 passing yards and the Chiefs to 286 total yards in the first meeting, but a pick six and 102-yard kickoff return inflated the score.

Kansas City Chiefs

They aren’t running away from teams, but they are winning and that’s the most important thing. The Chiefs can clinch at least a share of their fifth straight AFC West title with a win and it would also keep them within striking distance of the undefeated Pittsburgh Steelers for the top playoff seed in the conference. Remember the addition of one playoff spot in each conference reduced the number of first round byes from two to one. The Chiefs have won six straight since their lone setback, though the last three were decided by a combined nine points with KC going 0-3 ATS.

Mahomes and the offense continue to put up dizzying numbers. Last week against Tampa Bay Mahomes threw for 462 yards on 37 of 49 passing with three touchdowns. While there is an abundance of weapons in the passing game, Tyreek Hill stands out as the best option after his performance. Hill totaled 269 yards with all three of his QB’s scoring passes on 13 grabs. “I don’t think it was necessarily about a matchup. It was man coverage with no one over the top. We don’t get that a lot, especially with Hill and his ability. Whenever we do wit try to take advantage,” Mahomes explained.

Kansas City looks to keep a few runs going on Sunday night. They’ve won 10 straight over the Broncos and have won 24 of the last 27 games against AFC West competition going 21-6 ATS in that span. Even when the offense isn’t clicking the Chiefs can blow out opponents. Daniel Sorenson returned an interception for a touchdown and Byron Pringle had a 102-yard kickoff return making up for an off night from Mahomes in KC’s 43-16 Week 7 victory over Denver.

Bet Broncos at Chiefs at BookMaker.eu

Sports are cyclical so KC’s dominance over the AFC West and the Broncos in particular will end at some point. It’s just unlikely to happen on Sunday. The Chiefs are battling for the top seed in the conference and would love to have that bye once the postseason begins. We saw what happened last year. They have to keep winning in order to do that, and while they haven’t put a complete game together lately they aren’t far off. And the Broncos are going to scare them even with a quarterback on the field.

NFL Score Prediction: Chiefs 35, Broncos 17

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