NFL Betting – Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers

Written by:
Phil Simon
Published on:

The Green Bay Packers are trying to make the NFC North a close race by splitting their last six games, but nobody wants to step up and challenge them. Their closest pursuer the Chicago Bears have fallen off a cliff losing four straight games. The Bears can tighten things up with a win, though, when the division rivals meet on Sunday Night Football. However, an uncertain quarterback situation makes things worse than it already is for the Bears, who have one of the most inept offenses in the NFL. The teams have played a total of 200 games over their long histories making this the longest played rivalry. The Packers go for their 100th win in the series as a 7.5-point favorite on the NFL betting line.  Bookmaker.eu offers a generous welcome bonus (max bonus $1600)

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers
Date and Time: Sunday, November 29, 2020, 8:20 p.m. ET
Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
NFL Odds: Green Bay -7.5 O/U 45.5
Bears at Packers TV Coverage: NBC

Odds Analysis

For team that’s 5-5 the Bears aren’t getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers or the betting public. They opened as a 7.5-point dog for this critical matchup looking to end a four-game losing streak. Yes, the Bears were 5-1 at one point Chicago has been a dog in all but one game this season going 5-5 ATS. They failed to cover the 3.5-point line in their 19-13 loss to Minnesota in Week 10, their second straight loss against the line and third in four meetings. The hope is that an off week can get them going, but that hasn’t been the case in the past. The Bears are 0-6 SU and ATS over the last six seasons immediately following their bye. The Packers haven’t looked great the last two games, barely getting by the Jags at home in Week 10 and falling at Indy last week. They failed to cover in both games and are 1-3 ATS in their last four outings.

Chicago Bears

Matt Nagy has kept a wrap on his quarterback situation, not naming a starter until closer to game time. It probably won’t matter much since Mitchell Trubisky and Nick Foles have largely been ineffective. Chicago is better than only the Jets in yards and points per game while owning the league’s worst ground game. They could get some relief with the expected return of leading rusher David Montgomery.

The Bears have scored 30 points just once this season, needing three fourth-quarter touchdowns to beat the Falcons 30-26. During their four-game slide they’re scoring just 15.8 points per game, and the offense failed to reach the end zone last time out against Minnesota. The Bears managed just 149 total yards and 10 first downs with their only touchdown coming on a 104-yard kickoff return by Cordarrelle Patterson.

That the Bears won five of their first six games tells you just how good the defense has been. They rank ninth allowing an average of 340.1 yards per game, but the group stiffens when it has to. Chicago ranks first in third-down defense allowing opponents to convert just 33.3 percent of the time. And the Bears have the No. 1 red zone defense giving up a touchdown on 44.1 percent of visits to the red area. Overall they surrender 20.9 points, the sixth-best total in the NFL.

Green Bay Packers

A win all but guarantees the Packers another NFC North title. They would have a three-game lead with six to play, and the schedule is favorable. While the Bears were searching for a remedy to the offensive woes, the Packers suffered a tough loss to the Colts, 34-31, in overtime. The Packers should feel good about what they accomplished offensively against one of thebetter defenses in the league. They scored 28 first half points and totaled 367 yards against the No. 1 overall defense.

The offense went silent in the second half, though, managing just a field goal to send it to overtime. One thing the Packers have done well all season is take care of the football. They didn’t do that against the Colts turning the ball over four times, including a fumble by Marquez Valdes-Scantling in overtime that led to Indy’s game-winning field goal. The Packers have coughed it up six times in the last two games accounting for two-thirds of their season total.

The biggest difference between the teams is at the quarterback spot. The Bears have been searching for someone ever since Jim McMahon left Halas Hall. For the last 30 years the Packers have had two starters. Aaron Rodgers has put together another fine season leading the NFL with a 115.8 passer rating. He’s second to Russell Wilson with 29 touchdown passes and fifth with 2,889 yards.

Bet Bears at Packers at BookMaker.eu

Green Bay has some cracks on defense but I just can’t trust the Bears, making the UNDER seem like a good play. Trubisky does give Chicago a different look with his running ability and if he gets the nod I expect to see him play like his career depends on it, since it pretty much does. The Bears desperately need a win to end their slide and get them back into playoff contention. With their menacing defense, I’ll take the visitors and the points, though I don’t see them beating Rodgers.

NFL Score Prediction: Packers 23, Bears 19

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