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MLB Second Half 2019 Betting Strategies

Written by:
Mary Montgomery
Published on:
Jul/10/2019

Gambling911.com has some important strategies for betting Major League Baseball the second half of the 2019 season.

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Home Field Overvalued

Home teams got rolled over so far in the first half going 687-577 (50.43%), losing a gut wrenching -64.23 units for blind backers.  Oddsmakers know bettors severely overvalue home-field advantage and will typically shade the odds for home teams.  Home field, as it turns out, accounts for very little when it comes to the outcome of a baseball game.

Under Has Been a Winner

Blind betting every first half UNDER would have returned at 51.40%-win rate for a profit of +24.78 units, which any sports bettor would be happy to take to the bank.  Also, UNDER bets seeing 42% or less of wagers with a closing line of 8 or up went a very strong (57.1%) and a massive betting overs, which creates some inflated contrarian value to go the other way.

Betting every first-half under produced a 720-658 record (52.2%) for a profit of almost 60 units.

Yankees Getting Battered

The Yankees had the second shortest odds of winning this year's World Series after the Dodgers, but can they carry on with all the injuries piling up?

As of the writing of this article the Yankees (57-29) are 8.5 games up in the division on Tampa Bay and 3 games ahead of the Twins and Astros in the American League.  While this might not be all that surprising given the Yankees winning tradition and stacked lineup, they have been struck by the injury bug harder than anyone else in the league this year.  Currently there are 9 Yankees on the IL with Luke Voigt the latest Vitim after suffering an ab strain in London. The other IL members are

Miguel Andújar Out for season

Jake Barrett, Return TBD

Dellin Betances, Return in August

Jacoby Ellsbury, Return TBD (has not played since Nov 2017)

Ben Heller, Return in July

Jonathan Loaisiga, Return in July

Cameron Maybin, Return in July/August

Jordan Montgomery, Return TBD

Luis Severino, Return TBD

Troy Tulowitzki, Return TBD

Giancarlo Stanton. Return TBD

Updated Futures Odds to Win the 2019 World Series

World Series
Odds to Win the World Series
01:00 PM     4964     Los Angeles Dodgers         +300     
4969     New York Yankees         +350     
4961     Houston Astros         +500     
4952     Atlanta Braves         +900     
4967     Minnesota Twins         +900     
4955     Chicago Cubs         +1600     
4966     Milwaukee Brewers         +2200     
4971     Philadelphia Phillies         +2200     
4977     Tampa Bay Rays         +2200     
4980     Washington Nationals         +2200     
4954     Boston Red Sox         +2500     
4958     Cleveland Indians         +2500     
4970     Oakland Athletics         +4000     
4976     St. Louis Cardinals         +4000     
4978     Texas Rangers         +5000     
4951     Arizona Diamondbacks         +6600     
4959     Colorado Rockies         +6600     
4973     San Diego Padres         +6600     
4957     Cincinnati Reds         +8000     
4963     Los Angeles Angels         +10000     
4972     Pittsburgh Pirates         +10000     
4968     New York Mets         +15000     
4974     San Francisco Giants         +15000     
4956     Chicago White Sox         +25000     
4975     Seattle Mariners         +50000     
4965     Miami Marlins         +100000     
4979     Toronto Blue Jays         +100000     
4953     Baltimore Orioles         +500000     
4960     Detroit Tigers         +500000     
4962     Kansas City Royals         +500000    

- Mary Montgomery, Gambling911.com

Sports Handicapping News

MLB Betting Picks July 23 – Oakland A’s at Houston Astros

MLB Betting Picks July 23 – Oakland A’s at Houston Astros

The Houston Astros are getting some of their wounded players back in the lineup and they’re looking a lot like the team many predicted to be a World Series contender.

MLB Betting Picks July 22 – Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

MLB Betting Picks July 22 – Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

If the Boston Red Sox are going to make a move in the AL East it’s going to happen over the next two weeks. The Sox open a stretch of 14 straight games against the teams directly ahead of them in the division standings on Monday when they visit the Tampa Bay Rays in the first of a three-game set.

Cardinals vs. Reds Betting Preview, Free Pick - July 21

Cardinals vs. Reds Betting Preview, Free Pick - July 21

The Cardinals-Reds Sunday game featured a line of -110 for both sides.  The total was seeing the biggest shift, down from 10.5 to 9.5.

Nationals vs. Braves Betting Preview July 20

The line on the Nationals-Braves game has moved from -158 to -174 at some books, Nats favored.  The total on this game has not moved off of 10.

Will Red Sox Orioles Game Tonight be a Barn Burner?

Will Red Sox Orioles Game Tonight be a Barn Burner?

The total on tonight's Boston Red Sox vs. Batlimore Orioles game has moved from 11.5 to 12.5.  65% of the betting public was still on the OVER at 12.5.  Half of the last ten meetings have actually gone OVER the current total of 11.5.

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