MLB Line, Total Shifts, Consensus Plays and Betting Analysis June 22

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:

Gambling911.com has your MLB line, total shifts and consensus plays betting analysis for Saturday June 22, 2019.  A must read prior to placing your MLB wagers. Scroll down for all of today's game previews

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Biggest consensus

Twins - 78%

Cubs - 74%

Red Sox - 73%

Rangers - 73%

Phillies - 73%



Significant Line/Total Shifts

Twins vs. Royals - This is an early game (2:15 pm ET) with the total having moved up from 9 to 10 most books.  BetOnline was still holding at 9.5 as this was going to press. 

PITCHING MATCHUP: Twins RH Jose Berrios (8-3, 2.86 ERA) vs. Royals LH Danny Duffy (3-3, 4.64)

Berrios took a hard-luck loss despite allowing one run and matching a season high with 10 strikeouts across a season-high eight innings Monday against Boston. The one-time All-Star has permitted exactly one earned run in four of his last five outings and boasts a 1-1 record to go along with a 1.31 ERA in three June turns. Alex Gordon (6-for-24) is the only Royal with a home run against Berrios, who settled for a no-decision in Kansas City on April 2 after giving up three runs in seven frames.

Duffy's winless streak reach five games following an uneven 105-pitch performance Monday at Seattle in which he yielded four runs on seven hits and three walks over five innings. The 30-year-old has watched his ERA increase by more than 1 1/2 runs across his last four outings - a stretch during which he is 0-2 with a 7.32 ERA. Nelson Cruz (5-for-15, home run) and Jonathan Schoop (6-for-18) are among the Twins who have fared well against Duffy, who is 6-2 with a 2.58 ERA in 21 appearances (17 starts) versus Minnesota.

As much as the total movement suggests this one is going OVER, the starting scenario suggests otherwise.  In the end, it's really a matter of how long these two starters can hold out.  Neither team's bullpen is particularly dominant.

After all, six of the last ten meetings have gone OVER the current total of 10.

In the end though, the runs scoring and the allowance in either team's recent ten games is enough to get us taking the OVER.  Again, the total movement trending from 9 to 10 erases the UNDER as a pick option with our system. 

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

Our Free Picks Record June 18

2019 MLB Record: 17-11-2 (60.8%) - No Plays Over -160

2018-19 College Basketball Record: 12-9 (57.1%)

2018-19 NBA Record: 7-5 (58%)

2018 MLB Record: 45-35 (56.2%)

2018 NBA Record: 12-4-1 (75%)

Sports Handicapping News

MLB Betting Picks July 23 – Oakland A’s at Houston Astros

MLB Betting Picks July 23 – Oakland A’s at Houston Astros

The Houston Astros are getting some of their wounded players back in the lineup and they’re looking a lot like the team many predicted to be a World Series contender.

MLB Betting Picks July 22 – Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

MLB Betting Picks July 22 – Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

If the Boston Red Sox are going to make a move in the AL East it’s going to happen over the next two weeks. The Sox open a stretch of 14 straight games against the teams directly ahead of them in the division standings on Monday when they visit the Tampa Bay Rays in the first of a three-game set.

Cardinals vs. Reds Betting Preview, Free Pick - July 21

Cardinals vs. Reds Betting Preview, Free Pick - July 21

The Cardinals-Reds Sunday game featured a line of -110 for both sides.  The total was seeing the biggest shift, down from 10.5 to 9.5.

Nationals vs. Braves Betting Preview July 20

The line on the Nationals-Braves game has moved from -158 to -174 at some books, Nats favored.  The total on this game has not moved off of 10.

Will Red Sox Orioles Game Tonight be a Barn Burner?

Will Red Sox Orioles Game Tonight be a Barn Burner?

The total on tonight's Boston Red Sox vs. Batlimore Orioles game has moved from 11.5 to 12.5.  65% of the betting public was still on the OVER at 12.5.  Half of the last ten meetings have actually gone OVER the current total of 11.5.