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Golf 3M Classic Betting Preview 2019

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Jul/02/2019

After over 25 years of the 3M Championship, the brand new 3M Open will tee off this weekend. World number one Brooks Koepka, along with Jason Day, Bryson DeChambeau, and Phil Mickelson, will compete at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota.

Before we get to some picks for the week, let’s look a little more at this course. TPC Twin Cities is a Par 72, 7,164 yard course designed by Arnold Palmer 19 years ago and later revamped by Tim Lehman. It blends in with Minnesota’s natural landscape, as oak and spruce trees surround each hole, along with 27 bodies of water scattered all around.

As far as difficulty is concerned, it should play a lot like Detroit Golf Club, where Nate Lashley won with a score of -25 this past weekend. It’s a course that will favor long-hitters, with four driveable Par-4s, and reward those who putt well. In fact, during the years of the three-round 3M Championship, TPC Twin Cities ranked first or second in birdies in each of the last seven years. With some elite golfers teeing off this weekend, expect to see some low rounds.

Without further ado, here are the top golfers to watch in Minnesota this week.

Brooks Koepka +700

Koepka is the number one-ranked golfer in the world, so naturally he is going to be the favorite in nearly every tournament he competes in. Now this isn’t a major, which seems to elevate him to another level, but Koepka is still the best golfer in the field on a course that could see some low scores. He can dial in and thrive at any point.

Hideki Matsuyama +1200

One of the most consistent golfers on Tour, many thought Matsuyama would lead the pack last week in Detroit. And while he, and everyone else, was unable to catch up to Lashley, he still finished T13, giving him five consecutive finishes of T23 or better. Matsuyama is never the sexy pick, but he’s a pick you can feel confident in in terms of making a cut and competing over the weekend.

Jason Day +1200

Day has been uneven this season, thanks in part to some back issues. But over his last couple of tournaments, we’ve started to see him return to being the elite golfer he is. He finished T8 at the Travelers Championship, his most recent tournament, and before that finished T21 at the U.S. Open. TPC Twin Cities is a course that seems tailor-made for Day’s game, so he’s definitely someone to keep an eye on.

Bryson DeChambeau +1400

Just like Day, DeChambeau has battled inconsistent play all season. But also like Day, “The Scientist” has started to figure it out in the last few weeks. Starting with a T22 finish at Memorial, he followed it up with a T35 at Pebble Beach before finishing T8 at the Travelers. DeChambeau’s around-the-green game has been suspect to say the least, but with plenty of chances to land on the green in two strokes, Bryson can succeed here.

In addition to those big names, here are some underdogs who could have a very successful tournament.

Joaquin Niemann +3300

Niemann has had an impressive season, recently finishing T5 in both the Travelers Championship and Rocket Mortgage Classic. This is thanks in large part to his solid tee-to-green numbers, but the 21-year old is playing at a high level and will likely continue that to another course that can call for some very low scores.

Rory Sabbatini +4000

After starting this season ranked 200th in the world, Sabbatini has shot all the way up to 84th. He has not missed a cut since the Pebble Beach Pro-Am, and finished T3 in Detroit last weekend. That marks his third T6 or better finish in his last five events. With that recent stretch of excellent play, coupled with his strong off-the-tee numbers, Sabbatini is a very intriguing option.

Keegan Bradley +4000

Considered one of the biggest boom-or bust golfers on Tour, Bradley has the potential to win it all or miss the cut altogether. He’s ranked fourth in SG: approach, but 186th in SG: putting, so it’s clear to see that the putter will make or break him. But should he be able to putt like he did at the Travelers Championship when he finished T2, he could be a sneaky pick to win.

Prediction

It seems that in these non-majors, there’s a better chance of a dark horse winning that one of the big names, especially with The Open Championship just two weeks away. So I will take Sabbatini to win the first 3M Open.  If you are looking to bet this, check out RealBookies.com which is an outstanding pay per head site. The first round tees off on the 4th of July in Blaine, Minnesota.

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