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Free Pick - Giants vs. Pirates April 20

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Apr/20/2019

Gambling911.com has a free pick on today's game between the Giants and Pirates in Pittsburgh.


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Which Team/Total Outcome Stands Out Here:

San Francisco Giants

UNDER

Why?

San Francisco competitive versus Pittsburgh and two good pitchers coming off no wins their last outings

What We Like Here:

These teams have been competitive versus one another, each winning five of their last ten meetings

San Francisco has the best bullpen right now (a 2.33 ERA combined)

Two solid pitchers, one (Derek Holland) coming off a loss, the other (Jameson Taillon) yet to have a win this season

The total trending from 7.5 to 7 looks like books trying to get people to take the OVER

What We Don't Like Here:

Giants only 8-13 coming into this game compared to Pirates 11-6 record

Pittsburgh on a four game winning streak

San Francisco on three game losing streak

Better than 70% of the early action was on the Pirates yet the oddsmakers were dropping that line and making Pittsburgh more of an enticement from a -165 to -133 favorite.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Giants LH Derek Holland (1-2, 4.09 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Jameson Taillon (0-2, 3.43)

Holland allowed a season-high four runs in six innings in a loss to Colorado at home Sunday. He has 27 strikeouts in 22 innings on the year but has also walked 12 while serving up four home runs. The 32-year-old worked around five walks across 6 1/3 scoreless innings to get the win in his only prior start at PNC Park last May.

Taillon has yet to break into the win column, although he did notch a quality start Sunday in Washington, holding the Nationals to three runs in six frames. The former No. 2 overall pick yielded a run on three hits in seven innings in his only prior home start this year, settling for a no-decision against St. Louis. Posey is 4-for-6 with two doubles against Taillon, who has been reached for 12 earned runs in 12 innings over his first three career starts versus the Giants.

Half of the last ten meetings have resulted in seven or fewer runs.

While Holland's last start for San Francisco against Pittsburgh resulted in a score of 13-10 (San Francisco winning), his previous start against the Pirates ended with just 5 runs scored (0 by Pittsburgh) while Taillon's last start against San Francisco ended with the Giants scoring just two runs.

GO WITH THE UNDER 7

*PLEASE NOTE THAT, WHILE THIS GAME DID END UP ON THE UNDER, IT FAILED TO GO BEYOND THE 6TH INNING AND THEREFORE IS COUNTED AS 'NO ACTION' ON THE TOTAL

2019 MLB Record: 5-3-1 (60%)

2018-19 College Basketball Record: 12-9 (57.1%)

2018-19 NBA Record: 7-4 (63.4%)

2018 MLB Record: 45-35 (56.2%)

2018 NBA Record: 12-4-1 (75%)

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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