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College Football Updated Betting Odds to win National Title 2021

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Apr/30/2020

The college football season is about 4 months away, but we are all on the edge of our seats waiting to see the plan to return to action already. This college football season should be really exciting with two of the best high school QB recruits in the last 20 years being on the 2 national champion favorites and being Heisman favorites as well.

The Top of the Board

Clemson is currently the odds on favorite at +250, but Ohio State is just behind them at +300. Alabama is the third team in the mix at +400 just behind them. When it comes down to choosing which team to beat here, I think that we have to think about a variety of options.

Alabama has the worst odds and is a team that I like this year, but they should be starting a true freshman QB and they have the toughest schedule they’ve had in recent memory. They have to play USC, travel to LSU, and play Georgia in their crossover game, so I think that the odds are just too high here. Auburn, Alabama, LSU, Florida, and Georgia should all be seen as SEC championship contenders with major questions surrounding the major powers, so I want to avoid Alabama at this price.

Justin Field and Trevor Lawrence played in a game in January and I think that it is likely that they will meet again in the playoffs. Fields is a year behind Lawrence on the hype train, but he returns with better receivers and a much better offensive line.

While Clemson has been a national power for years now, they really have not recruited like it until the 2020 recruiting cycle. That being said, the depth and the unknowns at Clemson are a lot more alarming for me because they lack elite talent in terms of depth. Ohio State has multiple top 50 players that don’t even project to play while Clemson tends to rely on their best recruits to come through with incredible consistency.

Clemson is in the much easier conference and they should not lose again in the regular season this year, but I think that Ohio State will be a favorite when they meet up in the playoff at some point. I’ll take the Ohio State juice here because of the tougher conference since there is no Big Ten team that looks like an immediate threat to the Buckeyes this year.

The Jump

I have been down on Georgia for the last 5+ years because they are stuck in the past. However, this season, their defense should continue to be dominant and they bring in a transfer QB with a more diverse skill set and a new OC that should modernize the offense.

At +1200, I don’t love the price, but I do think that Clemson and Ohio State are too good to get beaten by most of the fliers down the board here. Georgia is the longest odds that I would take without a clear intention to hedge.

If you want to be creative, I think that the best case for a sleeper team is that someone like Georgia bursts onto the scene with a new OC and tons of talent and beats a young Alabama QB in Tuscaloosa. If Georgia does this and beats Florida, the rest of their schedule is a breeze and they could easily become the #1 seed based on resume, although I still think that both Ohio State and Clemson are better.

If you want to jump further down the board, I think you look at the other conferences in the mix. Both Oregon and USC are good teams, but they play Ohio State and Alabama respectively early in the season and while those losses should not kill them, they would not have a safety net.

I like Oklahoma State (+10000) and Texas (+3300) from the Big 12. While I am probably as high as anyone on Oklahoma QB Spencer Rattler, I think that Oklahoma’s playstyle just allows them to be vulnerable in literally any game they play against a competent offense. Texas has Sam Ehlinger back and should be healthier and more experienced at RB and CB, two positions that haunted them last year.

 Oklahoma State is more of a play to make the playoff than they are to win because they don’t have enough dudes on either side of the ball, but the combination of Spencer Sanders.

Lines Provided by A1pph.com

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