Brewers-Braves Betting Preview - May 17: Two Good Under Trends

Written by:
Dan Shapiro
Published on:

Seven of the last nine meetings between the Brewers and Braves played in Atlanta have gone UNDER the total.  Half of the last six games played in Atlanta have gone UNDER the current total however.


A better UNDER stat might be The UNDER going 10-1 in the Brewers last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Brewers RH Jhoulys Chacin (3-4, 4.57 ERA) vs. Braves LH Max Fried (5-2, 3.25)

Chacin has pitched well in his past three starts, recording a 1.59 ERA and holding opponents to a .186 batting average with 11 hits allowed over 17 innings. The 31-year-old suffered a tough-luck loss Sunday at the Chicago Cubs, surrendering two runs (one earned) with one walk and four strikeouts over six innings of a 4-1 loss - six days after giving up two runs on three hits across five innings against Washington. Chacin, who has posted a 3.12 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in his past five outings, is 2-4 with a 3.69 ERA in seven career starts against Atlanta and beat the Braves in his lone appearance against them last season.

Fried starts on regular rest in place of Kevin Gausman (suspended for throwing at Miami's Jose Urena) and looks to become the third pitcher in the NL to reach six wins on the season. The 25-year-old defeated Arizona on Sunday despite giving up a season-high nine hits over five innings, walking one while striking out seven and surrendering three runs. Fried, who left his previous start May 7 at the Los Angeles Dodgers after taking a line drive off his pitching hand, is 7-5 with a 3.16 ERA in 17 career starts but gave up four runs in his only career matchup with Milwaukee - a three-inning start last season.

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