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Betting Rule #2: Do Jump on Sides When the Books Have a Strong Opinion

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Aug/20/2020

When the sportsbooks love a particular side, we as gamblers might not always know this.  But strong opinions are typically an indication that this side will be a solid bet.


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We witnessed this in classic fashion Wednesday August 19, 2020 in the NBA with two games, both of which Gambling911.com was all over the right side.

These opinions are not always known without access to such information.  Sites like Gambling911.com have this info.

The Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets Game 2: The Nuggets were seeing heavy 65% or greater action on the spread.  Books had moved to -4.5 briefly but then shot down to -3.5.

The key takeaway here is that we already knew the books were not afraid to move to the -4.5.  Bringing the number down to -3.5 was a deliberate attempt to get lopsided action on the Denver Nuggets.

Result: Utah dismantles Denver 124-105.

The Dallas Mavericks vs. LA Clippers: Gambling911.com jumped on this one just 15 minutes prior to tip off after seeing a similar strong opinion among the books.

With 64% of the spread action on the Clippers to cover against the Mavs -5.5, this line dropped down from -6.5.

It is not only key to observe line movements, one must also have a keen understanding of specific sportsbooks and their key clientele.  For instance, we here at Gambling911.com know that books the likes of Bookmaker, Pinnacle, 5Dimes and Heritage tend to cater to a more high end demographic.  This includes sharps.  Books like Bovada and Sportsbook.ag tend towards a more recreational player base. 

In the end, do bet sides where the books have a strong opinion.

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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