Bet the WSU vs. Colorado Week 11 Game Online: Cougars Chance to Make the Playoffs

Written by:
Ean Lamb
Published on:
Nov/09/2018

You can bet the Washington State vs. Colorado game where the Cougars are a -6 road favorite.  Washington State has the best record in College Football Against The Spread at 8-1.  That is also their Straight Up record.


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WSU Chances to Make the Playoffs

From FiveThirtyEight.com:

Current playoff chances: 13 percent
Path to 90+ percent:

    Washington State beats Colorado in Week 11: +5 percentage points
    Washington State beats Arizona in Week 12: +3 points
    USC beats Notre Dame in Week 13: +5 points
    Washington State wins the Pac-12 championship (Week 14): +48 points
    Michigan loses the Big Ten championship (Week 14): +17 points

Conditional playoff chances: 91 percent
Chance of happening: 1 percent

One-loss Wazzu is in the same boat as West Virginia in terms of benefiting from a Michigan defeat in the Big Ten title game. (Assuming it wins its own remaining games — including the Pac-12 title, most preferably over Utah.) Washington State could get another boost if USC beats Notre Dame since both teams would then have one loss, against the Trojans in each case. It’s unclear how realistic this actually is (since our model doesn’t have a specific Notre Dame adjustment reflecting its tendency to, um, get the benefit of the doubt), but the Irish make the playoff only 18 percent of the time in the scenario laid out above, compared with the Cougars’ 91 percent mark.

Line Move and Betting Action

The line has moved from -4.5 to -6 in this game.

Washington State vs. Colorado Betting Trends, Preview

The home team has won by more than the current spread over the past three meetings, which does not bode well for the Cougars.  That said, Colorado has lost their last four games overall by more than the current 6-point spread, and this is a solid Cougars teram.

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