Athletics-Twins Betting Preview July 18

Written by:
Dan Shapiro
Published on:

The Athletics take on the Twins in Minnesota Thursday night as a +119 dog.  Minnesota is listed at -129.

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Athletics-Twins OVER - The total on this game had to be reviewed at a number of books.  All were trending upwards from 10 to 10.5, which might not say much.  However, we did find books that had moved the line to 11 for brief times. 

At 10.5, less than 60% of the action was on the OVER.

Coupled with the total movement, we would want to gather information about recent meetings and starting pitching as the OVER looks somewhat promising on the surface.

Eight of the last ten meetings have seen fewer than 11 runs scored.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Athletics RH Mike Fiers (9-3, 3.61 ERA) vs. Twins RH Kyle Gibson (8-4, 4.03)

Beginning with the no-hitter he threw May 7 against Cincinnati, Fiers is 7-0 with a 2.09 ERA over his last 12 starts. His latest gem saw him scatter eight hits in 7 2/3 scoreless innings in a win over the Chicago White Sox on Friday. He limited the Twins to two runs (one earned) in six frames prior to the All-Star break and is 6-1 with a 2.66 ERA in 12 career meetings.

Gibson came out of the break and had his second-shortest start of the year, a 3 2/3-inning effort at Cleveland in which he was reached for three runs (one earned). He has just one quality start over his last six appearances - one of which came in relief - but it was at Oakland on July 3. Ramon Laureano is 4-for-5 with a home run and a double against the 31-year-old Gibson, who has a 3.81 ERA in five career starts versus the Athletics.

The number of UNDERs when we consider the current total will prevent us from taking the OVER. 

Oakland also ranks in the top 5 bullpens and Minnesota the top 12.

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