Free Baseball Picks – August 25

Submitted by Dan Shapiro on

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Dan Shapiro

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Gambling911.com is experiencing its worst stretch of the season thus far with three straight losses that began Friday with a 0-1 showing and culminated Saturday with a  0-2 record, losing with the Brewers/Reds total and a San Francisco defeat of Pittsburgh.

Today we are on the Atlanta/St. Louis UNDER 7.5 – It’s the Braves LH Mike Minor (12-5, 3.06 ERA) vs. the Cardinals RH Lance Lynn (13-7, 3.97).

Minor has posted a a 6-2 mark on the road with a 2.51 ERA.  He will be looking to rebound from his worst outing of the season thus far, going up against a Cardinals team he only one run on four hits in seven innings in a 4-1 triumph back on July 26.

Lynn is enjoying a 8-2 record in St. Louis while limiting the opposition to a .232 batting average.  He, too, suffered one of his worst setbacks of the season against Milwaukee his last start.  Lynn is looking to snap a three-game winless streak.

5 of 6 games have gone UNDER the total so far this season.  4 of the last 6 games have gone UNDER the current total of 7.5. 

The last time Minor started against St. Louis, the Cards only scored a single run in the game.  The last time Lynn started against Atlanta, St. Louis only allowed two runs in the game.

The UNDER is 7-2 in Braves last 9 games as an underdog.

The UNDER is 3-0-1 in Minor's last 4 road starts.

The UNDER is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

The UNDER is 5-1 in Lynn's last 6 home starts.

 

Texas/Chicago (White Sox) OVER 8.5 – The Rangers RH Matt Garza (3-1, 4.32 ERA) vs. the White Sox LH John Danks (3-10, 4.22).

Danks is just 1-5 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.88 and a WHIP of 1.259.

Garza is 3-4 when starting against Chicago White Sox with an ERA of 4.56 and a WHIP of 1.441.  His team's record is 3-6 in these starts.

Danks just had his first win in nine starts.  Garza is 2-0 over his last three starts but has not pitched well of late.  The Rangers have piled up 30 runs in his last three starts, which is a pretty amazing stat. 

Prior to Danks last win, his team has allowed 6 and 7 runs, respectively, in his previous two starts.

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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