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- Donald Trump had been priced no higher than -180 even after Joe Biden's disastrous debate but the line moved to -300 following assassination attempt at Pennsylvania rally.
- Joe Biden, meanwhile, has moved to a larger favorite to be the Democratic nominee and not drop out of the race.
- VP Kamala Harris sees her longest odds since the debate.
- Shooting suspect identified as Thomas Matthew Crooks, 20, of Bethel Park, Pennsylvania.
As expected, the shooting incident that occurred yesterday in Pennsylvania has bolstered former U.S. President Donald Trump's chances of being re-elected in November, according to the odds.
"Following the disturbing event that happened Saturday evening, we immediately suspended betting odds for all political markets," BetOnline.ag political oddsmaker Paul Krishnamurty said. "Everyone could anticipate the public reaction, so we adjusted the odds accordingly and moved Trump from -200 to -250 for the presidency. Since then, we've seen nothing but Trump money come in."
The current 2024 Election odds from BetOnline.ag are below. Trump is now a -300 (1/3) favorite, equating to a 75% implied probability. Those odds have not budged over the last 48 hours as of Monday morning.
Additionally, due to the shooting (and the expectance that the Democratic will ultimately lose the White House), current U.S. President Joe Biden has moved to a larger favorite to be the Democratic nominee and not drop out of the race. As of Monday morning, Biden's odds were sitting at +350 while Vice President Kamala Harris lost the most ground yet, coming in at +1000, down from a high of +350 post debate.
Finally, J.D. Vance has shifted to a heavy favorite to be announced as Trump's running mate. Vance's odds are now 5/4 (+125), but Doug Burgum is close behind at 2/1.
Trump spoke exclusively to the New York Post ahead of this week's GOP convention, understanding the gravity of the situation.
“The doctor at the hospital said he never saw anything like this, he called it a miracle,” said Trump, who was sporting a large, loose white bandage that covered his right ear. His staff insisted that no photos be taken.
“I’m not supposed to be here, I’m supposed to be dead,” Trump said. “I’m supposed to be dead.”
What We Know So Far |
2024 U.S. Presidential Election
All odds courtesy of BetOnline Here
Donald Trump Sr. 1/3 (-300)
Joe Biden 5/1
Kamala Harris 7/1
Michelle Obama 33/1
Gavin Newsom 40/1
Gretchen Whitmer 40/1
Hillary Clinton 66/1
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 66/1
Nikki Haley 150/1
Will Joe Biden withdraw before DNC?
No 1/4 (-400)
Yes 5/2 (+250)
Democratic Nominee
Joe Biden 1/3 (-300)
Kamala Harris 3/1
Gavin Newsom 20/1
Gretchen Whitmer 20/1
Michelle Obama 20/1
Hillary Clinton 33/1
Josh Shapiro 150/1
J.B. Pritzker 200/1
Raphael Warnock 200/1
Andy Beshear 250/1
Pete Buttigieg 250/1
Elizabeth Warren 300/1
Amy Klobuchar 500/1
Bernie Sanders 1000/1
Dean Phillips 1000/1
Republican Vice President
J.D. Vance 5/4 (+125)
Doug Burgum 2/1
Marco Rubio 5/1
Ben Carson 12/1
Tulsi Gabbard 16/1
Glenn Youngkin 20/1
Tim Scott 20/1
Elise Stefanik 45/1
Vivek Ramaswamy 50/1
S. Huckabee Sanders 80/1
Byron Donalds 100/1
K.T. McFarland 100/1
Tom Cotton 100/1
Robert F Kennedy Jr. 150/1
Mike Pence 200/1
Michael Waltz 250/1
Ron DeSantis 250/1
Candace Owens 500/1
Donald Trump Jr. 500/1
Ivanka Trump 500/1
Tucker Carlson 500/1
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