Bet on When Budget Reconciliation Bill Will Become Law: 80 Percent of Gambling Public Still Thinks By July 5

Submitted by Guest on

Written by :

Guest

Published on :

Republican leaders in the House were busy Wednesday trying to win over some final holdouts on President Donald Trump’s tax and spending cuts package — determined to seize momentum from a hard-fought vote in the Senate while essentially daring members to defy their party’s leader and vote against it.

“The American people gave us a clear mandate, and after four years of Democrat failure, we intend to deliver without delay,” the top four House GOP leaders said Tuesday after the bill passed the Senate 51-50, thanks to Vice President JD Vance’s tiebreaking vote.

It’s a risky gambit, one designed to meet Trump’s demand for a July 4 finish. Republicans have struggled mightily with the bill nearly every step of the way this year, often succeeding by only one vote. Their House majority stands at just 220-212, leaving little room for defections. 

Those at the Kalshi prediction market give the bill an 80% chance of becoming law by July 5 and a 90% chance of this happening by August 1.  Just shy of $410,000 in volume has come in on this market thus far. 

Some Republican holdouts are beginning to change their tune a bit entering Thursday. 

Rep. Warren Davidson, R-Ohio, was one of two House Republicans to oppose the earlier version of the bill passed by the House in May, citing deficit-spending concerns. But he said Wednesday he would support the more expensive Senate-passed bill.

“This bill isn’t perfect, but it’s the best we’ll get & includes major wins,” he wrote on the social platform X, citing border security, a “pro-growth tax policy,” Medicaid work requirements and more — most of which were part of the initial House bill.

- The Associated Press was used for this article

tc-jackson.png

Related Content

Broncos vs. Jaguars Touchdown Scorer Prop Bets, Payout Odds: J.K. Dobbins, Parker Washington, Bhayshul Tuten

Broncos vs. Jaguars Touchdown Scorer Prop Bets, Payout Odds: J.K. Dobbins, Parker Washington, Bhayshul Tuten

Touchdown prop bets are available for Sunday's late game between the Broncos and Jaguars with all players paying even odds or better to score at least one.
Commanders vs. Cowboys: Cuotas de Apuestas y Mercados de Anotadores de Touchdown – 20 de Septiembre

Commanders vs. Cowboys: Cuotas de Apuestas y Mercados de Anotadores de Touchdown – 20 de Septiembre

Las apuestas para el partido de hoy entre los Commanders y los Cowboys están disponibles en BC.Game.
Christian McCaffrey Player Prop Bets Dolphins vs. 49ers: Touchdown Scorer, Total Rushing Yards

Christian McCaffrey Player Prop Bets Dolphins vs. 49ers: Touchdown Scorer, Total Rushing Yards

Christian McAffrey pays $135 for every $100 bet to have the most rushing yards in this game and $260 for every $100 bet to score the first touchdown.
Raiders vs. Chargers Touchdown Scorer Prop Bets: Ashton Jeanty, Omarion Hampton

Raiders vs. Chargers Touchdown Scorer Prop Bets: Ashton Jeanty, Omarion Hampton

Ashton Jeanty pays even odds to score a touchdown in this game after scoring two last week.