Notre Dame vs. FSU Line at -3: Champs Sports Bowl Betting

Submitted by Dan Shapiro on

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Dan Shapiro

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The Notre Dame vs. FSU line was coming in at -3.  You can bet this game at BetDSI.com.  Receive up to $300 in FREE CASH depending on your initial deposit here.

The Irish's quarterback remains a mystery after Andrew Hendrix replaced Tommy Rees in their regular-season finale at Stanford. Florida State has won four of six meetings with Notre Dame and is making its third appearance in the Champs Sports Bowl.  The last game played between these two teams, however, was in 2003.  The Seminoles boast the nation's No. 4 scoring defense.  The FSU offense is only averaging 375.8 YPG this year, however. 

Notre Dame has won four of their last six and eight of their last ten games while FSU has managed to win six of their last seven after dropping three straight games.

These numbers may be a bit deceptive as Adam Markowitz of DonBest.com notes.

“Florida State has had some major offensive issues in the final three games of the season. The Seminoles just barely put aside the Miami Hurricanes 23-19 at home on November 12, lost to the Virginia Cavaliers as 17-point favorites in the team's final home game 14-13, and then had almost as many penalty yards as offensive yards against the Florida Gators in a 21-7 triumph.”

And Notre Dame, they might have been in the BCS if not for that loss to the Cardinal their final week. 

More important trends follow this ad from our sponsor along with our video betting preview and FREE PICK. 

Fighting Irish are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.

Fighting Irish are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Fighting Irish are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 bowl games.

Seminoles are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 bowl games.

Seminoles are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games

The OVER/UNDER in this game is 46.  You have to figure the oddsmakers are going to believe most sports bettors will be on the UNDER here due to FSU’s poor offense and solid defense along with past trends.  In these situations, as a sports bettor, you probably want to think OVER.

Under is 5-0 in Seminoles last 5 games overall.

Under is 5-0 in Seminoles last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Under is 4-0 in Seminoles last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Under is 6-0 in Seminoles last 6 non-conference games.

Under is 4-0 in Seminoles last 4 games following a S.U. win.

Under is 4-0 in Seminoles last 4 games on grass.

Under is 5-0 in Seminoles last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 6-1 in Seminoles last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Under is 11-5-1 in Fighting Irish last 17 games overall.

Under is 11-3 in Fighting Irish last 14 vs. ACC.

Under is 11-5-1 in Fighting Irish last 17 games overall.

Only one of FSU’s last games scored OVER the current total.  Only two of Notre Dame’s games have gone OVER the current total in their last five. 

Yes, Gambling911.com will be on the OVER 46 here, going against the stats and trends.

 

 

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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