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PayPerHead.com has released their 2013 MLB betting picks for Saturday, July 6, 2013.
Game 1: Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies – Saturday, July 6
No matter which bookie software you trust, the overarching reality of the situation suggests that you should give a slight edge to the visiting Braves. The starting pitching matchup here is virtually a dead heat, with Atlanta’s Paul Maholm – he of the 3.69 ERA – going up against Philadelphia starter Kyle Kendrick, the possessor of a 3.59 ERA. When two pitchers stand on relatively equal footing, the focus should shift to hitting, and it’s in this realm where Atlanta outclasses Philadelphia. The sports betting sites that focus on baseball will plainly point out that entering July 4, the Braves have scored 32 more runs in one fewer game (84 to Philadelphia’s 85). The Phillies’ offense has simply not been able to get off the deck this season, creating a run differential of minus-45. Atlanta’s run differential on July 4 is plus-73, meaning that the separation between these two teams in run differential is 118 runs. One should be able to look at these numbers and say that unless the Phils own a commanding advantage in the battle of starting pitchers, the Braves should be favored.
Take the Braves here.
MLB Betting Pick: Atlanta
Game 2: Chicago White Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays – Saturday, July 6
When looking at bet online reviews, you have to wonder if the last two starts for Tampa Bay starter Matt Moore are genuine indications of a sustained surge. Moore was horrible in the first half of June, but he has bounced back with a pair of gleaming outings against Toronto and Houston. Toronto has a solid offense, but Houston doesn’t. Moore shouldn’t get shelled by the weak-hitting White Sox, but will he dominate Chicago? Probably not. Moore needs to show that he can be more consistent before he regains the full trust of bettors.
Chicago is a bad team, but in this game, the Pale Hose will send staff ace Chris Sale to the hill. Sale’s ERA is 2.79 compared to Moore’s 3.65 figure. Sale has a better chance of shutting down Tampa Bay than Moore does of locking down the White Sox. Give Chicago a slight edge in this tussle.
MLB Betting Pick: Chicago White Sox
Game 3: Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees – Saturday, July 6
The urgency of the moment is reason enough to get a bettor to alter the play he or she makes at a trusted and reputable sportsbook. In the middle of the season, with the frail and tenuous months of April and May in the rearview mirror, veteran pitchers generally step up and realize the stakes involved whenever they take the mound. Veteran pitchers are problem solvers, and when the weather gets hot, they keep their cool. Andy Pettitte has been through so many baseball wars for the New York Yankees. He’s not as durable as he once was, and he’s battling the effects of Father Time, but he’s still the kind of pitcher you want to have on the mound in a big game against a divisional rival. Baltimore got the better of the Yankees this past weekend on its home field, making this series in New York that much more important for the Yankees. Expect Pettitte to be able to outduel Baltimore starter Chris Tillman, lifting the Yankees past the Orioles in this important weekend series.
MLB Betting Pick: New York Yankees
