..

Which Team Should I Bet On? Tennessee vs. LSU

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Oct/06/2022

Clearly, the line on the Tennessee vs. LSU game on October 8 is favoring the wrong team.

bolcrypto.gif

That's not to take anything away from the Vols.  After all, they are 4-0 Straight Up and 3-1 Against The Spread compared to the Tigers at 3-1 SU and 3-2 ATS.

The Volunteers are coming in as the -3 point favorite with the line briefly tapping on the -2.5 at times at some books.

Gambling911.com, using the powerful Sagarin ratings, gets a number of LSU 3.83.

In games we have analyzed this season, the wrong team favored has only covered 5 times in 14 games.

Even possible injuries do not explain the line variance, which is around a 7-point overlay.

Louisiana State's Sevyn Banks suffered an apparent neck injury on the opening kickoff.  Banks is expected to be out 5-6 weeks as he recovers.  A transfer from Ohio State, Banks was expected to play a key role as a depth piece in the secondary.

Quarterback Jayden Daniels was also injured but is expected to play on Saturday.

We studied a few comparable games to see what might happen.

The relatively steady 3 without going over that number has been less common than one might think this season.  In fact, we really haven't seen it in key games.

A stable -2.5 point road favorite we've seen on two occasions.  One was Mississippi State in a game against LSU and the other North Dakota State.  The dog covered in both of those and the Mississippi State vs. LSU game featured an overlay similar to the Tennessee-LSU game of 7 points.  And guess what?  The wrong team was favored in that one as well. LSU should have been favored.  Not only did the Tigers cover, they beat the Bulldogs badly.

In the North Dakota State vs. Arizona game, the Wildcats covered and won by 3 points.  Arizona should have been favored here and there was a 3.5 overlay.

A lot of the experts see Tennessee winning but believe the game will be close, mostly a field goal win.

We will be on LSU +3 here.

These teams haven't played one another since 2017.

- Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com

Football News News

New York Jets Betting Trends: Will Zach Wilson be Benched?

New York Jets Betting Trends: Zach Wilson Benched

BetOnline was offering odds on whether Zack Wilson becomes the next quarterback benched.  They had Wilson as a pretty big favorite.  Mike White will now assume the QB responsibilities, at least for this game. The Jets host Chicago, a team that is second worst in the league right now according to the Sagarin Ratings.  Our number is New York 6.77.

Hot Betting Trends NFL November 27, 2022

Hot Betting Trends NFL November 27, 2022

We have some simply amazing line trends that continue to come through strong for us both in the NFL and college Football.  With Saturday's college football slate, we went 4-2 with our plays.  Let's see how things go with the NFL.

Syndicate