Today's Hits Allowed Pitcher Prop Bets Value

Written by:
Dan Shapiro
Published on:
Apr/21/2024

Below we take a look at the over/under totals for hits allowed with each of today's starting pitchers.  Note that most of the totals come in around 4.5 to 5.5.  You'll want to see who among the starters has the better price based on some helpful observances.

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Sunday April 21, 2024

ESPN notes that, on paper, through the first three-plus weeks of the season, the Rockies have one of the weakest lineups in the league, but when they're at home, they're a top-10 unit.

Cal Quantrill, starting for the Rockies, is coming in with an over 5.5 hits allowed priced at -164 on the over. 

George Kirby, taking the mound for Seattle, comes in priced -122 to go over 6.5, -159 to stay under that number.

Our leaderboard handicappers - Seth Cohen, Bobby Conn and The Bookie - are backing The LA Angels +120 (Cohen) and Washington Nationals +165 (The Bookie).  Conn did not have a play as this was going to press.

Frankie Montas comes in with a hits allowed total of 4.5 priced, same as Angels starter Jose Soriano.

Friday April 19, 2024

Arizona Diamondbacks Jordan Montgomery is a lofty -186 favorite to allow under 5.5 hits hosting the San Francisco Giants, who put Blake Snell on the mound.  This will be Montgomery's debut for the Diamondbacks.

ESPN writes of his likely performance Friday:

"What gives Montgomery the edge in this matchup, compared to either Snell or Chapman, is that the Giants have been a middling offense thus far, including against left-handed pitchers. A sinker/curveball/changeup reliant pitcher, Montgomery matches up well against this Giants offense that lacks many standouts against that particular pitch repertoire.

"As for Snell, his inconsistent command fuels concerns heading into a matchup with a Diamondbacks offense that has been the majors' second best against left-handers in terms of both team wOBA (.356) and whiff rate (18% of swings)."

Taking a look at the Red Sox vs. Pirates game, the sports handicapper leaderboard at the Sports Hub has Bobby Conn going 10-0 his last ten picks.  And guess who he is on today?  The Boston Red Sox at +105.

Brayon Bello starts for Boston and is favored to allow over 5.5 hits at a price tag of +118.

Hits Allowed Pitcher Prop Bets

Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs

19-Apr-2024, 14:20

A.J. Puk

Miami Marlins

Over(4.5)

+100

Under(4.5)

-130

Jameson Taillon

Chicago Cubs

Over(4.5)

-143

Under(4.5)

+110

Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates

19-Apr-2024, 18:40

Brayan Bello

Boston Red Sox

Over(5.5)

+118

Under(5.5)

-154

Chicago White Sox @ Philadelphia Phillies

19-Apr-2024, 18:40

Spencer Turnbull

Philadelphia Phillies

Over(4.5)

-109

Under(4.5)

-120

Los Angeles Angels @ Cincinnati Reds

19-Apr-2024, 18:40

Tyler Anderson

Los Angeles Angels

Over(4.5)

-167

Under(4.5)

+127

Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals

19-Apr-2024, 18:45

Justin Verlander

Houston Astros

Over(4.5)

+131

Under(4.5)

-173

MacKenzie Gore

Washington Nationals

Over(4.5)

-141

Under(4.5)

+108

Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees

19-Apr-2024, 19:05

Clarke Schmidt

New York Yankees

Over(4.5)

-108

Under(4.5)

-121

Tyler Alexander

Tampa Bay Rays

Over(4.5)

-167

Under(4.5)

+127

Oakland Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians

19-Apr-2024, 19:10

Joe Boyle

Oakland Athletics

Over(5.5)

+136

Under(5.5)

-179

Triston McKenzie

Cleveland Guardians

Over(4.5)

-107

Under(4.5)

-122

Texas Rangers @ Atlanta Braves

19-Apr-2024, 19:20

Andrew Heaney

Texas Rangers

Over(5.5)

+118

Under(5.5)

-154

Chris Sale

Atlanta Braves

Over(5.5)

+127

Under(5.5)

-167

Baltimore Orioles @ Kansas City Royals

19-Apr-2024, 19:40

Alec Marsh

Kansas City Royals

Over(4.5)

-170

Under(4.5)

+129

Dean Kremer

Baltimore Orioles

Over(5.5)

+129

Under(5.5)

-170

Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins

19-Apr-2024, 20:10

Jack Flaherty

Detroit Tigers

Over(4.5)

-130

Under(4.5)

+100

Joe Ryan

Minnesota Twins

Over(4.5)

+117

Under(4.5)

-152

Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals

19-Apr-2024, 20:15

Freddy Peralta

Milwaukee Brewers

Over(3.5)

-143

Under(3.5)

+110

Kyle Gibson

St. Louis Cardinals

Over(5.5)

+102

Under(5.5)

-134

Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres

19-Apr-2024, 21:40

Matt Waldron

San Diego Padres

Over(5.5)

-107

Under(5.5)

-122

Yariel Rodriguez

Toronto Blue Jays

Over(4.5)

-106

Under(4.5)

-124

New York Mets @ Los Angeles Dodgers

19-Apr-2024, 22:10

Sean Manaea

New York Mets

Over(4.5)

-118

Under(4.5)

-110

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Los Angeles Dodgers

Over(4.5)

+106

Under(4.5)

-137

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants

19-Apr-2024, 22:15

Blake Snell

San Francisco Giants

Over(4.5)

+110

Under(4.5)

-143

Jordan Montgomery

Arizona Diamondbacks

Over(5.5)

+141

Under(5.5)

-186

Saturday April 20, 2024

Zack Wheeler is among the top starting pitchers of the day for the Phillies and is expected to allow no more than 4 hits on the day against a White Sox lineup that has hit 13 of 52 against him (.250).  Paul DeJong has the two home runs versus Wheeler and is averaging .262 so far this season with three homers so far. 

Zac Gallen is a favorite to stay under 5.5 hits allowed.  He's permitted 27 in 108 against this San Francisco roster (.250) with only one home run over that span. Gallen was outstanding in Sunday afternoon’s victory over the Cardinals, racking up seven strikeouts over six innings of shutout baseball.

Ronel Blanco for Houston is rostered in 83.8 percent of ESPN's leagues.  Thus far he has a .118 BABIP and 86.7% left on base mark, "both of which are wholly unsustainable," according to ESPN.   He's favored to give up 5.5 hits at -167 with the over paying out $127 on a $100 bet.

Seth Cohen and Bobby Cohn are our top leaderboard sports handicappers at the Sports Hub these past 14 days. Cohen is on the Yankees at -128 and Conn is on the Diamondbacks with Galen starting.

Hits Allowed Pitcher Prop Bets

Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees

20-Apr-2024, 13:05

Nestor Cortes Jr.

New York Yankees

Over(5.5)

+112

Under(5.5)

-145

Zach Eflin

Tampa Bay Rays

Over(5.5)

+124

Under(5.5)

-162

Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins

20-Apr-2024, 14:10

Bailey Ober

Minnesota Twins

Over(4.5)

+118

Under(4.5)

-154

Reese Olson

Detroit Tigers

Over(4.5)

+112

Under(4.5)

-148

Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals

20-Apr-2024, 14:15

Miles Mikolas

St. Louis Cardinals

Over(5.5)

-139

Under(5.5)

+106

Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs

20-Apr-2024, 14:20

Javier Assad

Chicago Cubs

Over(4.5)

-159

Under(4.5)

+122

Jesus Luzardo

Miami Marlins

Over(4.5)

-115

Under(4.5)

-113

Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates

20-Apr-2024, 16:05

Kutter Crawford

Boston Red Sox

Over(4.5)

+112

Under(4.5)

-148

Mitch Keller

Pittsburgh Pirates

Over(5.5)

+112

Under(5.5)

-148

New York Mets @ Los Angeles Dodgers

20-Apr-2024, 16:05

Gavin Stone

Los Angeles Dodgers

Over(4.5)

-106

Under(4.5)

-124

Jose Butto

New York Mets

Over(4.5)

-134

Under(4.5)

+102

Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals

20-Apr-2024, 16:05

Ronel Blanco

Houston Astros

Over(5.5)

+127

Under(5.5)

-167

Trevor Williams

Washington Nationals

Over(5.5)

+118

Under(5.5)

-154

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants

20-Apr-2024, 16:05

Kyle Harrison

San Francisco Giants

Over(5.5)

-107

Under(5.5)

-122

Zac Gallen

Arizona Diamondbacks

Over(5.5)

+122

Under(5.5)

-159

Chicago White Sox @ Philadelphia Phillies

20-Apr-2024, 18:05

Michael Soroka

Chicago White Sox

Over(4.5)

-136

Under(4.5)

+104

Zack Wheeler

Philadelphia Phillies

Over(4.5)

-115

Under(4.5)

-113

Oakland Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians

20-Apr-2024, 18:10

Alex Wood

Oakland Athletics

Over(5.5)

+104

Under(5.5)

-136

Logan Allen

Cleveland Guardians

Over(4.5)

-143

Under(4.5)

+110

Los Angeles Angels @ Cincinnati Reds

20-Apr-2024, 18:40

Graham Ashcraft

Cincinnati Reds

Over(5.5)

+104

Under(5.5)

-136

Patrick Sandoval

Los Angeles Angels

Over(4.5)

+102

Under(4.5)

-134

Baltimore Orioles @ Kansas City Royals

20-Apr-2024, 19:10

Cole Ragans

Kansas City Royals

Over(4.5)

-107

Under(4.5)

-122

Corbin Burnes

Baltimore Orioles

Over(4.5)

-141

Under(4.5)

+108

Texas Rangers @ Atlanta Braves

20-Apr-2024, 19:20

Charlie Morton

Atlanta Braves

Over(4.5)

-113

Under(4.5)

-115

Nathan Eovaldi

Texas Rangers

Over(5.5)

-112

Under(5.5)

-117

Seattle Mariners @ Colorado Rockies

20-Apr-2024, 20:10

Dakota Hudson

Colorado Rockies

Over(5.5)

-109

Under(5.5)

-120

Luis Castillo

Seattle Mariners

Over(5.5)

-113

Under(5.5)

-115

Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres

20-Apr-2024, 20:40

Jose Berrios

Toronto Blue Jays

Over(5.5)

-112

Under(5.5)

-117

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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