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The 5-2 Tennessee Vols will be a -3.5 road favorite in Kentucky against a 5-2 Wildcats team. Both teams are 4-3 Against The Spread.
Action, Line and What the Number Should Be
Action is relatively balanced on this game. The line has moved from -3.5 to -4. With Sagarin we get a number of Tennessee 9.81, indicating an underlay of as much as 6 points. This tends to be quite favorable for the favorite when the number is 3/3.5/4 and not going under the 3.
The BetUS Betting Preview: Vols vs. Wildcats
BetUS host Gary Segars, and expert handicappers Kyle Hunter and Parker Fleming preview the College Football Week 9 game between Tennessee and Kentucky. They'll go over the best value college football odds available and betting trends and share their College Football expert predictions.
Tennessee vs Kentucky | College Football Week 9 Predictions @BetUS_Official https://t.co/54XQRdIkz8 via @YouTube
— gambling911 (@gambling911) October 27, 2023
Segars says: "If you subscribe to the body blow theory, Tennesse can absolutely be in trouble. They've gone through Texas A&M and Alabama the last two weeks. Kentucky, coming off a bye week."
Tennessee is 13-3 Straight Up and Against The Spread versus Kentucky in their last sixteen meetings.
Tennessee has not been good on the road lately. Kentucky, on the other hand, 6-1 Against The Spread in their last seven as a home dog.
"Recent trends would certainly favor Kentucky in this one," Segars believes.
More to Consider
Tennessee beat Kentucky two years ago but by just three points. Last year was a 44-6 blowout at the hands of the Vols. Tennessee has won four of the last five in this series dating back to 2018. Two of those were wins by more than the current spread.
Peter Fiutak of College Football News notes that the Kentucky passing attack just hasn't clicked.
"No one has been able to get to 200 rushing yards on the Vol D that allows just 110 per game. Combine that with the occasional turnover problems - three against Missouri, multiple in three of the last five games - and there’s no margin for error.
"Tennessee might not be the offensive powerhouse of last year, but if the Joe Milton of the first half against Alabama shows up, all should be fine."
That reference is to Tennessee imploding in the second half after leading and dominating the first half against Alabama last week. It was the Vols second loss.
The Kentucky defense is good. Georgia is the only team to run for more than four yards per pop against them so far this season.
Vols vs. Wildcats Game, Player Props
Game Props
3 Straight Scores by Either Team
yes
-264
no
+190
Time of First Score O/U 6 (mins elapsed)
Under(6)
-143
Over(6)
+106
Team to Score First
KEN
+101
TEN
-136
First score of Game is Touchdown
yes
-417
no
+258
Any Team to Score 40+ Points
yes
+323
no
-501
Team to Score Last
KEN
-103
TEN
-130
Defensive or special teams TD scored
yes
+208
no
-295
Will there be Overtime
yes
+800
no
-2000
Will there be a Scoreless Quarter
yes
+239
no
-345
First Touchdown Prop Bet
Ray Davis
+500
Jaylen Wright
+700
Squirrel White
+850
Ramel Keyton
+950
Barion Brown
+1000
Tayvion Robinson
+1000
Jabari Small
+1100
Joe Milton
+1100
Dane Key
+1200
Any Other Player
+1500
Dylan Sampson
+1600
Kaleb Webb
+1900
JuTahn McClain
+2100
Chas Nimrod
+2300
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye
+2700
Jacob Warren
+2700
McCallan Castles
+2700
Jordan Dingle
+3000
Tennessee Defense
+3000
Devin Leary
+3500
- Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com
