Politics

Pennsylvania 8 Race Has Scranton Democratic Mayor Paige Cognetti as -325 Favorite

Cognetti's odds improve slightly from -275 to -325 over this past month with Republican candidate Rob Bresnahan promising a payout of $250 for every $100 bet.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Sat, 10/24/2026 - 21:07

Texas 15 House Race Sees Pickup for Dems: Bobby Pulido Now Priced at -800

Democrat Bobby Pulido, a popular Tejano musician, is now a -800 favorite to win here. That represents a three-point jump from October 5 when Pulido came in with -500 odds.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Sat, 10/24/2026 - 14:02

Alaska Senate Race Slight Tick in Favor of Mary Peltola Following Justice Dept Lawsuit News

BetOnline on Friday shifted Alaska Democratic Senate candidate Mary Peltola odds from -325 to -350 while GOP incumbent Senator Dan Sullivan promises a payout of $275 for every $100 bet.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Fri, 10/23/2026 - 23:07

Has the Vivek Ramaswamy Universally Panned Ad Impacted the Odds of Other Ohio GOP Candidates?

There are now margin of victory odds available for the Ohio governor's race with Amy Acton winning by 7.5% or more the favorite paying out $205 for every $100 bet.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Fri, 10/23/2026 - 22:38

Oddsmakers Now Make Amy Acton 'Lock' to Win Ohio Governor's Race: 88 Percent Chance to Win

Just three days ago, Acton's odds were coming in at -205 with most polling showing her leading Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in polling by close to 7 percent.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Thu, 10/22/2026 - 18:23

Kalshi Traders Now Give James Talarico a 67 Percent Chance of Winning Texas Senate Race

Trillionaire Elon Musk recently poured approximately $190 million into the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race, primarily supporting Republican Ken Paxton against Democrat James Talarico. But Talarico's odds of winning continue to improve.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Thu, 10/22/2026 - 10:00

Scott Colom Payout Odds to Win Mississippi Senate Race Now at $600

A top Democratic super PAC focused on U.S. Senate races announced Tuesday that it will spend $1.2 million on an ad campaign in Mississippi for Colom, as the Dems now believe there is hope for a win here.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Thu, 10/22/2026 - 09:01

Amy Acton Ohio Governor Odds Jump Another Point to -450 Wednesday Night

The fallout from the widely condemned Vivek Ramaswamy campaign ad featuring his opponent's mother telling people not to vote for Amy Acton continued Wednesday night.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Wed, 10/21/2026 - 21:09

Gadi Eizenkot Odds to Become Next Israel Prime Minister After Next Election

While President Trump endorsed Benjamin Netanyahu for re-election recently, VP JD Vance declined the opportunity to back the embattled Israeli leader this week.

Submitted by Press Release on, Wed, 10/21/2026 - 19:07

Amy Acton Ohio Governor Odds Shift in Her Favor Following Vivek Ramaswamy Vile Ad Featuring Estranged Mom

Ohio Republican candidate for governor Vivek Ramaswamy was being universally condemned Tuesday night after admitting his campaign was behind a vile ad featuring Democratic opponent Amy Acton's estranged mother.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Tue, 10/20/2026 - 21:10

Jon Ossoff Now the -5000 Favorite to Win Georgia Senate Race

Meanwhile, in another hotly contested race in the state, Keisha Lance Bottoms (-105) is in a dead heat with her Republican opponent for governor, Rick Jackson (-125).

Submitted by t c jackson on, Tue, 10/20/2026 - 20:30

Midterm House Betting Odds, Probabilities Updated for 64 Races on Gambling Website

As we approach the final two weeks before the 2026 Midterm Elections, media coverage and public interest continue to intensify.

Submitted by Press Release on, Tue, 10/20/2026 - 15:09

Mary Peltola Now With a 76 Percent Chance of Winning Alaska Senate Race With BetOnline Updated Odds

Former Rep. Mary Peltola, a Democrat, is now listed at -325 to win the Alaska senate race. Her race is generating some of the highest betting interest, and with good reason.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Tue, 10/20/2026 - 10:17

Why Voter Turnout Could Matter More Than Polling Leads in the 2026 Midterms

Polls are giving Americans plenty to talk about ahead of the 2026 midterms, but a lead on paper doesn't always translate into an election victory.

Submitted by B.E.Delmer on, Tue, 10/20/2026 - 09:37

Ashley Moody Winning Margin Over Angie Nixon in Florida Senate Race as Man Charged With Threateing to Behead Voters

A former failed congressional candidate, Elijah Manley, is accused of threatening to behead Democrats who wouldn't back Nixon. He faced two felony charges.

Submitted by Jagajeet Chiba on, Mon, 10/19/2026 - 15:52

Bets Begin Flooding in on Kim Jong Un, Replacement With Rumors He May Be Dead

Trades began pouring in on whether Kim Jung Un would be out as the Supreme Leader of North Korea at various prediction markets following reports he had died or was in a coma following botched heart surgery.

Submitted by Jagajeet Chiba on, Mon, 10/19/2026 - 15:30

Polls Show Jon Husted Slightly Ahead in Ohio Senate Race, Oddsmakers Have Him Paying Out $160

ActiVote’s October 18, 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate poll finds that Republican Jon Husted leads Democrat Sherrod Brown by 0.4%.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Sun, 10/18/2026 - 21:39

Jared Moskowitz Now in 'Lock' Territory as Oddsmakers Move Odds Up Full Point - Florida-25 District

Jared Moskowitz Now in 'Lock' Territory as Oddsmakers Move Odds Up Full Point to Florida-25 District

Talk about a redistricting epic fail here in Florida with early voting about to commence this Monday October 19.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Sat, 10/17/2026 - 18:42

Josh Turek Gaining Support From Trump Voters in Iowa Senate Race But Ashley Hinson Still Given 58 Percent Win Chance at Gambling Sites

Josh Turek Gaining Support From Trump Voters in Iowa Senate Race But Odds Still Favor Ashley Hinson

The latest YouGov poll, conducted between October 6 and October 12, surveyed 2,245 likely Iowa voters has Democrat senate candidate Josh Turek with a narrow lead over Republican senate candidate Ashley Hinson—47% to 46%

Submitted by t c jackson on, Sat, 10/17/2026 - 00:52

Next White House Press Secretary With Katie Zacharia Fired

And as you know, BetOnline Sports & Casino puts out odds on just about every political story (they cross the line at death pools, captures, wars, assassinations, etc.), so naturally they are the first to release odds for the next WHPS.

Submitted by Press Release on, Fri, 10/16/2026 - 17:15

Katie Zacharia Out as White House Press Secretary Odds

Katie Zacharia's tenure as White House Press Secretary is off to an inauspicious start.

Submitted by Press Release on, Thu, 10/15/2026 - 17:17

Susan Collins Pays Out $105 to Win Maine Senate: Latest Polls Show Statistical Tie

Collins payout odds improved by $5 in recent days with a slim shift favoring Jackson (previously listed at -130).

Submitted by t c jackson on, Thu, 10/15/2026 - 11:01

Odds Continue to Tighten in Texas Senate Race: Ken Paxton Payout Odds $150

Texas Attorney General and Republican candidate for senate, Ken Paxton, continues to gain some ground, both in the odds and polls.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Wed, 10/14/2026 - 22:50

Gina Hinojosa Payout Odds to Win Texas Governor's Race - $275 for Every $100 Bet

A new ReconMR Oct. 13 poll shows Abbott has edged ahead of Hinojosa after trailing her by four points in a September ReconMR poll. He is still a greater than -300 favorite to win at BetOnline.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Wed, 10/14/2026 - 22:31

Katie Zacharia Out as White House Press Secretary Betting Odds

Katie Zacharia's debut Tuesday as the White House press secretary received mostly negative reviews, though U.S. President Donald Trump praised her performance, and that might be all that matters in the end.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Wed, 10/14/2026 - 12:30

Fort Hood Shooter Execution Won't Be Livestreamed, Say Oddsmakers

BetOnline Sports & Casino doesn't think the idea Hegseth has floated to livestream the execution of the Fort Hood shooter will come to fruition. The below odds equate to a 40% implied probability of it happening.

Submitted by Press Release on, Tue, 10/13/2026 - 18:21

Adam Hamilton Kansas Senate Payout Odds Get a Little Shorter

With just three weeks to go until the midterm elections, the Kansas senate race continues to get tighter.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Mon, 10/12/2026 - 21:14

Minnesota Rep Ilhan Omar Chances of Being Federally Charged Low at Prediction Markets

Rep. Ilhan Omar's Washington, D.C., home was the target of a raid early Monday morning by ICE's investigations unit.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Mon, 10/12/2026 - 20:27

Kimberly Guilfoyle Out as US Ambassador to Greece Now Hits 86 Percent Likelihood at Kalshi

The Wall Street Journal las week reported questionable conduct by Guilfoyle, including making an alleged threat to a host country official, accepting improper gifts and services and offering to use her influence inside the administration in return for the payment of a large credit card bill.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Mon, 10/12/2026 - 20:12

Nebraska Senate Race Now Deemed to be Among the Closest By Oddsmakers

There are 35 Senate races in the 2026 midterm elections. Of those 35 races, there are just eight considered to be "tossups," at least according to the odds provided by BetOnline.ag.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Mon, 10/12/2026 - 09:42