Free NFL Pick: Green Bay +3.5 @ Arizona August 28 2009

Written by:
Tony George
Published on:
Aug/26/2009 is happy to publish this free NFL Pick on the Green Bay/Arizona game for  August 28, 2009.  You can bet on it at

Now, John Ryan and Ais has identified Green Bay as a 3* graded Major and GB has a 70% probability of losing this game by 3 or less points. Supporting this opportunity is a strong 80% winning system producing a record of 24-6 ATS since 1993. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points being undefeated with a minimum of 2 wins. AiS shows an 88% probability that GB will gain between 6 and 6.5 YPP. Note that GB is a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt since 1993. The best news for the Packers right now is that have decided on their starting offensive line.

That is a big part of any team's success and the more time they have to play together and develop chemistry the better the pass and run blocking will become. Spitz and Sitton beat out incumbent center Scott Wells in a three-man competition at center and right guard, respectively, while Barbre held off a late charge from Breno Giacomini at right tackle. These three will will team with left tackle Chad Clifton and left guard Daryn Colledge to play at least the first half of Friday's exhibition at Arizona, their most extensive action together before the Sept. 13 regular-season opener.

I am very confident in stating that the Packer OL will take control of the LOS. Arizona can mix and match a base 3-4 and base 4-3 defense. There are still many starting positions to be won and injuries will keep starters to a minimum. The Cardinals already lost their second round draft pick and OLB, Cody Brown, for the season with a broken left wrist. He played end at Connecticut, but was clearly drafter to anchor the LB corp of the base 3-4 that they want to run. For years, the Steelers, have drafted college DE and then converted them successfully to OLB, but in this case the Cardinals will need to be quite patient and to make certain no one else gets injured as well. **Take Green Bay.

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