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Buffalo Bills vs. St. Louis Rams Betting Odds

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Sep/27/2008
Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo Bills vs. St. Louis Rams is one of the most bet on games of the NFL weekend with the line opening anywhere between Bills -8 to -9 and odds are hovering between these two numbers heading into game time Sunday. Action was around 75 percent on the Bills.

Buffalo beat St. Louis by 20 points the last time these two teams met back in 2004. The Bills were a -2 home favorite in that one.

The Rams are now considered perhaps the worst team in the NFL and the Bills among the top 10 best. Gambling911.com ranked Buffalo at number 7 this week.

Some interesting stats: The Bills are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games on turf; Bills are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a S.U. win and 38-18-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

St. Louis has not scored by more than 13 points in any game thus far during the first three games of the 2008 regular season. Whether new quarterback Trent Green can change those numbers remains to be seen. The Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points. The Bills, by the way, have won their first three games by scoring 20 or more points.

Furthermore, Gambling911.com believes the line on this game should be Buffalo -11.  G911's opinion on this game is that the Bills should have no problem covering the 8 point line. 

The Buffalo Bills are off to their best start since Jim Kelly, Thurman Thomas and Bruce Smith were leading them to four straight Super Bowls in the early 1990s. Buffalo is off to its best start since the 1992 club won its first four games en route to an 11-5 finish and the third of four straight Super Bowl appearances.

While a young quarterback named Trent (Edwards) is leading the Bills back to prominence, the Rams (0-3) this week turn in desperation to 38-year-old veteran Trent Green.

Green was slated to be the starter for St. Louis in 1999, but suffered a season-ending knee injury in the final preseason game. Kurt Warner took over and led the Rams to their only Super Bowl title. Green returned to appear in eight games for a Rams team that went 10-6 in 2000, and is now back in St. Louis after six years in Kansas City and one in Miami.

Nothing has worked for the Rams in 2008. Their defense has given up a league-high 116 points to complement the woeful offense. All three of their losses have been by 24 points or more, including last week's 37-13 defeat at previously winless Seattle.

Running back Steven Jackson was a relative bright spot in the rout, accounting for 128 yards of offense -- more than half the team's total of 240. Jackson, though, has struggled to find running room behind an offensive line that has allowed 11 sacks, managing 3.2 yards per carry -- a full yard lower than his 2007 average.

The Bills won their only visit to St. Louis, 45-27 on Dec. 10, 1995. Buffalo has won four of the last five meetings between these teams overall to gain a 5-4 edge in the all-time series.

Buffalo is currently listed with +1600 odds to win the 2009 Super Bowl, which would result in a potential payout of $1600 on every $100 bet at BetOnline.com.

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Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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