New Orleans Saints Odds to Win the 2015 Super Bowl: Season Wins Total Good Bet
The New Orleans Saints odds to win the 2015 Super Bowl were at 13/1 at AceSportsbook.com, some great value if you ask us.
The Saints are a modest -150 favorite to win the NFC South, keeping in mind that Tampa Bay and Atlanta were both expected to improve this season while Carolina also made the playoffs in last year’s breakout season.
It is interesting to note, however, that oddsmakers have made the Panthers a pricey -170 favorite to win UNDER 8 regular season games while Atlanta are priced at -135 to win UNDER 8.5, with expectations being that they will finish around .500. The Bucs are priced at -150 to win 7 or fewer games. By comparison, New Orleans was posted with an OVER/UNDER of 10 regular season wins with a -130 price on the UNDER.
New Orleans schedule was considered relatively soft, as were two of their rivals. Only Atlanta was expected to have a somewhat difficult schedule, ranked 11th worst in the league.
MGM Resorts VP of race and sports Jay Rood told the Linesmakers early last month: “Our biggest risk of all so far among the division is the Buccaneers, who we've dropped from 100-to-1 down to 30-to-1, and in the process of dropping them, we also raised the number on the Panthers from 20-to-1 up to 40-to-1, just because we don't have much action or risk on them at all."
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Jennifer Hale of Fox Sports writes of the Saints:
The Saints are still driven by what's been the team's unwavering strength in the years since Hurricane Katrina: a high-octane offense powered by quarterback Drew Brees' arm and high football intelligence. Brees has set numerous NFL records and is in just as good of shape now as when he became the fastest player ever to join the 50,000-yard club last season, needing only 183 games.
For six straight seasons, Brees has recorded at least 30 touchdown passes and 4,000 passing yards. Expect a repeat performance this season.
The stat that really stands out for New Orleans from last year is that they lost four of their last five games away from home. They were 4-6 on the road overall (including two post season games) and only won one of those games by more than 4 points (at Chicago).
The good news on this front is that, on paper at least, New Orleans should be capable of beating the likes of Cleveland, Dallas and maybe even Detroit on the road. Prior to this past year, Atlanta was a powerhouse at home for a number of seasons.
Pittsburgh and Chicago might prove difficult on the road but the Bears were the only team New Orleans managed to beat by more than four points on the road last season.
Because we anticipate improvement – especially defensively - in 2014-2015, winning OVER 10 regular season does not look to be a difficult task.
Alex Marvez of Fox Sports predicts:
The NFL's No. 4 defense in 2014 will be bolstered by three additions to the secondary -- Champ Bailey, Jairus Byrd and rookie cornerback Stanley Jean-Baptiste -- along with the return of standout second-year safety Kenny Vaccaro from a season-ending leg injury.
Sean Wagner-McGough of NextTimePulseSports.com says of the Saints:
The Saints got better this offseason — they got Brandin Cooks and Jairus Byrd — and their rivals in Carolina got a little bit worse (check out their wide receiver situation). I think this means the Saints will top the NFC South and have a shot at home field advantage. If they get that, they’re a threat to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl.
I’m not really sure how Vegas has them pegged at under 10 wins. In my mind, this team is better than last season and should end up with more than 10 wins.
Gambling911.com doesn’t see any way, baring an injury to Brees, that New Orleans wins UNDER 10 regular season games in 2014.
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
