MLB Betting Lines – Free Picks: Mariners vs. Red Sox Series Over is 11-0

We have gotten destroyed over our last three free picks, going 0-3 and we are now 15-13 with our picks for the month of August.  Hopefully we can get back on track today.  Our picks appear below today’s hot pitcher and team trends as do the lines.

Pitchers

Atlanta's Aaron Harang is 3-0 when starting against Cincinnati with an ERA of 2.16 and a WHIP of 1.160.

San Francisco's Ryan Volgelson is 1-2 when starting against Washington with an ERA of 8.82 and a WHIP of 2.018 while the Nationals Stephen Strasburg is 3-0 when starting against San Francisco with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.960.  The OVER is 5-2 combined when these two pitchers are starting against this opposing team.  The OVER is 5-1 in this series so far this season.

Milwaukee’s Michael Fiers is 1-2 when starting against Pittsburgh with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.446 while Pittsburgh’s Vance Worley is 0-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.800.

New York's Bartolo Colon is 1-4 when starting against the Dodgers with an ERA of 6.60 and a WHIP of 1.563.  LA's Kevin Correia is 2-4 when starting against the Mets with an ERA of 4.40 and a WHIP of 1.256.

Toronto's Drew Hutchinson is 2-2 when starting against Tampa Bay with an ERA of 7.78 and a WHIP of 1.780.

Chris Sale is 3-0 when starting against the Yankees with an ERA of 1.27 and a WHIP of 0.706 while New York's Chris Capuano is 0-0 when starting against the White Sox with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 0.875 and the UNDER is 4-2 in this series so far this year.  This one has UNDER written all over it but be careful of those White Sox closers. 

Hisashi Iwakuma is 0-1 when starting against Boston with an ERA of 7.81 and a WHIP of 2.052 and Boston's Allen Webster is 0-0 when starting against Seattle with an ERA of 27.04 and a WHIP of 3.433.  The OVER is 4-0 when these two pitchers have started in this season.  And the OVER is 4-0 in this series this season.

Teams

Atlanta is 5-1 vs. Cincinnati so far this season.

The OVER is 5-1 in the San Francisco vs. Washington series this year.

The OVER is 4-0 in the Mets/Dodgers series this season.   The OVER is 12-3-2 in the last 17 meetings.

Free Picks

*1 - Atlanta -120 vs. Cincinnati – As noted above, Atlanta is 5-1 in this series so far this year.  The Reds are 1-7 in their last 8 overall.

The Braves RH Aaron Harang (10-7, 3.50 ERA) is 3-0 with 2.16 ERA in four career starts against the Reds and has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 19 of 26 starts.

The Reds RH Alfredo Simon (12-8, 3.35) is 0-5 with a 5.40 ERA in seven outing.  Simon has allowed one run over 8 1/3 frames in five career relief appearances versus the Braves.

*2 – San Francisco/Washington OVER 7 - The OVER is 9-2-2 in Washington's last 13 home games and 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Washington.

The Giants RH Ryan Vogelsong (7-9, 3.73 ERA) has lost six of his last eight decisions despite allowing two or fewer earned runs in seven of his last ten starts.  He is 1-2 with a 6.39 ERA in eight career appearances (four starts) against Washington, however. 

Washington CF Denard Span is 5-for-10 with two doubles and a triple against Vogelsong, while SS Ian Desmond is 3-for-7 with five RBIs.

The Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (10-10, 3.41) is coming off back-to-back wins.  Strasburg is 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA in four career starts against the Giants.

The OVER 11-2 in Strasburg's last 13 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200.

*3 – Mets/Dodgers OVER 7.5 – 5 of the last 6 games in this series have gone OVER the current number and the OVER is 12-3-2 in the last 17 meetings between these two teams.

The OVER is 8-1-2 in New York's last 11 road games.

The Mets RH Bartolo Colon (11-10, 3.85 ERA) is 1-4 with a 6.61 ERA in five career starts against the Dodgers.  Adrian Gonzalez is 6-for-18 with two homers against Colon.

Dodgers RH Kevin Correia (7-13, 4.87) is 2-5 with a 4.01 ERA in 13 career games (seven starts) against the Mets. David Wright, who has struggled and went 0-for-5 his last appearance,  is 13-for-17 with three home runs against Correia.

*4 – Mariners/Red Sox OVER 8 – The OVER is 4-0 in this series this season.  The total has gone OVER the current number in all ten of the last games of this series.

The Mariners RH Hisashi Iwakuma (12-6, 2.57 ERA) allowed five runs on eight hits in four innings to take the loss to Boston on June 25.  He's won three straight.

The Red Sox RH Allen Webster (3-1, 4.73)  allowed 7 runs the last time he faced Seattle.

The OVER is 8-2 in Red Sox last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com