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MLB Betting Lines – Free Pick: Under is 9-3-1 in Cueto’s Last 13 Home Starts

Written by:
Dan Shapiro
Published on:
Jul/26/2014
MLB Betting Lines – Free Pick:  Under is 9-3-1 in Cueto’s Last 13 Home Starts

Our second pick of the day will be on the UNDER 7 Nationals/Reds.

The Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (6-5, 3.74 ERA) has been fantastic against Cincinnati in the past.  2-0 with a 1.00 ERA in four starts against the Reds, striking out 32 in 27 innings while allowing only one homer.

It would almost be tempting to bet on the Nationals at +107, however, the Reds RH Johnny Cueto (10-6, 2.18) is 5-3 with a 4.58 ERA in nine starts against Washington, is 5-2 with a 1.74 ERA in 10 day starts this season, and 7-3, 1.98 in 11 turns at home.

Both these pitchers are coming off of no-decisions also.

The last two games in this series have gone UNDER the current number while four of the last five have not gone OVER 7.   Only one of the last four in this series played this year have gone OVER 7.

The UNDER is 9-3-1 in Cueto's last 13 home starts.

The UNDER is 9-3-1 in Cueto's last 13 home starts while the UNDER is 5-1 in Gonzalez's last 6 road starts.

In theory, both these pitchers should be able to go 8 full innings and the final score will be 1-0, though theories do not always shape up the way we would like.

Here are some great trends for today.

Pitchers

The Cardinals Shelby Miller is 1-0 when starting against Cubs with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.800.

The Cubs is 1-0 when starting against the Cards with an ERA of 0.55 and a WHIP of 1.164.

Washington’s Gio Gonzalez is 2-0 with a 1.00 ERA in four starts against the Reds, striking out 32 in 27 innings while allowing only one homer.

Atlanta's Julio Teheran is 0-2 when starting against San Diego with an ERA of 6.39 and a WHIP of 1.026.

Jon Niese is 2-0 when starting against Milwaukee with an ERA of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.575.

Wily Peralta is 2-0 when starting against the New York Mets with an ERA of 0.63 and a WHIP of 0.558.

The Dodgers Clayton Kershaw is 11-5 when starting against the Giants with an ERA of 1.49 and a WHIP of 0.828.

The Giants Ryan Vogelsong is 4-2 when starting against the Dodgers with an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.325.

The Blue Jays Drew Hutchinson is 1-3 when starting against the Yankees with an ERA of 6.87 and a WHIP of 1.882.

The White Sox Chris Sale is 5-1 when starting against the Twins with an ERA of 2.75 and a WHIP of 1.017.

Teams
The OVER is 8-1 in the Cardinals/Cubs series this season.

Pittsburgh is 3-1 against Colorado this season.

The OVER is 7-3 in the Blue Jays/Yankees series this season.

 

MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL - Jul 26

NATIONAL LEAGUE

 

Jul 26

951

STL CARDINALS

S. MILLER -R

+110

o8-110

+1½-200

 

4:05 PM

952

CHI CUBS

J. ARRIETA -R

-120

u8-110

-1½+170

 

Jul 26

953

WAS NATIONALS

G. GONZALEZ -L

+102

o7-110

+1½-220

 

4:05 PM

954

CIN REDS

J. CUETO -R

-112

u7-110

-1½+190

 

Jul 26

955

ARI D'BACKS

J. COLLMENTER -

+132

o7½EV

+1½-170

 

7:05 PM

956

PHI PHILLIES

C. LEE -L

-142

u7½-120

-1½+150

 

Jul 26

957

SDG PADRES

O. DESPAIGNE -R

+170

o7EV

+1½-140

 

7:10 PM

958

ATL BRAVES

J. TEHERAN -R

-180

u7-120

-1½+120

 

Jul 26

959

NY METS

J. NIESE -L

+139

o8-115

+1½-165

 

7:10 PM

960

MIL BREWERS

W. PERALTA -R

-149

u8-105

-1½+145

 

Jul 26

961

PIT PIRATES

J. LOCKE -L

-129

o10½-120

-1½+115

 

8:10 PM

962

COL ROCKIES

T. MATZEK -L

+119

u10½EV

+1½-135

 

Jul 26

963

LA DODGERS

C. KERSHAW -L

-185

o6-110

-1½-105

 

9:05 PM

964

SFO GIANTS

R. VOGELSONG -R

+175

u6-110

+1½-115

AMERICAN LEAGUE

 

Jul 26

965

TOR BLUE JAYS

D. HUTCHISON -R

+118

o8½-120

+1½-180

 

1:05 PM

966

NY YANKEES

C CAPUANO -L

-128

u8½EV

-1½+160

 

Jul 26

967

BAL ORIOLES

B. NORRIS -R

-106

o7½-115

+1½-225

 

4:10 PM

968

SEA MARINERS

C. YOUNG -R

-104

u7½-105

-1½+195

 

Jul 26

969

BOS RED SOX

J. LACKEY -R

-110

o7-120

-1½+150

 

7:10 PM

970

TB RAYS

J. HELLICKSON -

EV

u7EV

+1½-170

 

Jul 26

971

CLE INDIANS

Z. MCALLISTER -

-103

o9-110

-1½+145

 

7:10 PM

972

KAN ROYALS

J. GUTHRIE -R

-107

u9-110

+1½-165

 

Jul 26

973

CHI WHITE SOX

C. SALE -L

-175

o7½-115

-1½-105

 

7:10 PM

974

MIN TWINS

L. DARNELL -L

+165

u7½-105

+1½-115

 

Jul 26

975

OAK ATHLETICS

S. GRAY -R

-185

o9-115

-1½-120

 

8:05 PM

976

TEX RANGERS

N. TEPESCH -R

+175

u9-105

+1½EV

 

Jul 26

977

DET TIGERS

J. VERLANDER -R

+106

o8½-105

+1½-200

 

9:05 PM

978

LA ANGELS

M. SHOEMAKER -R

-116

u8½-115

-1½+170

INTERLEAGUE

 

Jul 26

979

MIA MARLINS

T. KOEHLER -R

+101

o8-115

+1½-205

 

7:10 PM

980

HOU ASTROS

J. COSART -R

-111

u8-105

-1½+175

GRAND SALAMI

(ALL GAMES MUST GO OFFICIAL TIME)

 

Jul 26

991

AWAY

R

-130

   
 

1:05 PM

992

HOME

R

+110

   
 

Jul 26

993

OVER

R

 

o125½-110

 
 

1:05 PM

994

UNDER

   

u125½-110

 

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com

 

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