Free Baseball Picks – August 11: on 14-3 Run

Written by:
Dan Shapiro
Published on:
Free Baseball Picks – August 11: on 14-3 Run continues its 14-3 run with a win on the Detroit/New York OVER yesterday.  Here are Sunday’s free picks.

Texas/Houston OVER 9 – Here is a situation where the total has gone over the current number (9) or pushed in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

Neither starting pitcher is extraordinary here.  The Rangers LH Martin Perez (4-3, 3.81 ERA) had his first win since July 9. 

The Astros LH Dallas Keuchel (5-6, 4.96 ERA) allowed 6 runs in his last outing.  Dallas Keuchel is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.81 and a WHIP of 1.375.

Texas is red hot right now and, while the Astros are the worst team in the league, the Astros C Jason Castro is riding a career-high 10-game hitting streak and has recorded three straight multi-hit performances.

The Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

The Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

The Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Oakland/Toronto OVER 9 – Toronto has scored 6 or more runs in 4 of their last 6 games overall.  Four of the last six meetings between these two teams have gone OVER the current total of 9.

R.A. Dickey is 1-3 when starting against Oakland with an ERA of 5.04 and a WHIP of 1.460.

Athletics RH A.J. Griffin has surrendered the most home runs in the league at 28. Dickey sits right behind Griffin with 25 home runs allowed.

The Over is 7-2 in Toronto's last 9 games following a win and 6-2-1 in Toronto's last 9 games at home.

We should also note that the Blue Jays are 1-10 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record, which leads us to our third pick....

That would be Oakland as a +105 underdog.  While Dickey has not performed well against Oakland, Griffin has gone 2-0 when starting against Toronto with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 0.818.

- Dan Shapiro,

Sports Handicapping News

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