Should I Bet the UCF Knights in College Football This Week?
The UCF Knights are still a decent football team in 2022 despite a rare home loss to Louisville on September 9. This game will be played Wednesday night due to rescheduling around Hurricane Ian.
There is a good reason to try again betting UCF on the moneyline against SMU. The price is just -140.
It's not as if this is an invincible Mustangs squad. They come into UCF with a 2-2 record having lost their last two games.
Sure Southern Methodist will be hungry for a win but here is the kicker: Prior to that home loss versus the Cardinals in Week 2, the Knights only lost once at home as a favorite since 2017.
We also detect a pretty significant underlay here as UCF is favored at -2.5, down from -3.5 and we get a number of 6.32 for a 3 to 4 underlay.
Comparables include a prior SMU game. SMU +3.5 to +2.5 Maryland with the favorites, the Terps, covering the spread and an underlay of between 1 to 2 points.
We also had a favorite win in this line range (moving above and below the number 3) with a more significant underlay. Penn State -3.5 to -2.5 Auburn had the favorite Penn State walk away with a huge cover. This one featured an underlay of 9 to 10.
UCF Schedule
Schedule
Sept 1 South Carolina State
Sept 9 Louisville
Sept 17 at Florida Atlantic
Sept 24 Georgia Tech
Oct 1 SMU
Oct 8 OPEN DATE
Oct 13 Temple
Oct 22 at East Carolina
Oct 29 Cincinnati
Nov 5 at Memphis
Nov 12 at Tulane
Nov 19 Navy
Nov 26 at USF
Resources
UCF @ FAU
UCF was between a -9.5 and -7.5 favorite against Florida Atlantic on September 17. The Knights won big and easily covered the spread. This one featured an underlay of 3 points.
- Tyrone Black, Gamlbing911.com
