US Government Shutdown Betting Odds Are Back

Written by :

C Costigan

Published on :

16 September, 2025

We have a few politics odds-related updates for you below, courtesy of BetOnline.ag.

They cover the potential government shutdown, Wednesday's Federal Reserve decision and President Donald Trump's visit to the United Kingdom.

The odds of a government shutdown are slim with a payout of $225 for every $100 bet should it happen.

What will Federal Reserve rate decision be at conclusion of FOMC?

Decrease Rate -5000

No Change +1200

Increase Rate +10000

(Odds equate to a 98% implied probability that rate will decrease)

Will the U.S. government shut down by October 1?

Yes +215

No -325

(Odds equate to a 77% implied probability that government will not shut down. Odds one week ago, the odds slightly favored a shutdown.)

What will happen during Trump's UK visit?

To mention Ed Davey in public +175

Trump call for Farage to be US Ambassador +225

Praise/Defend Peter Mandelson +275

To be pictured outside 10 Downing Street +400

To endorse any UK political party +500

To visit Wales +700

To recommend UK leaves NATO +1200

The latest 2028 Presidential Odds can be found here

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