Twitter (X) Presidential Hashtag Study by State Has Trump Winning 287-251

Written by:
Guest
Published on:
Oct/30/2024

The social media rhetoric leading into Tuesday's election is at a fever pitch!

The map below is based on geotagged Twitter (X) data in the last two weeks (14 days) tracking candidate hashtags in every state. 

For example, every tweet that contained #Trump2024, #TrumpVance2024, #Harris2024 and #HarrisWalz2024 were compiled for the 50 states, and the candidate with the most hashtag tweets "won" that state.

More than 10 million tweets were used in the study.

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As you can see from the map, based on this data, Trump would win the election with 287 electoral votes versus Harris' 251 electoral votes. Needless to say, this is shaping up to be a very close election, and it seems all of the polling data (and social media data) speak to the fact it could go either way.

Below the map is an excel spreadsheet with the percentage of all hashtags for each candidate in all 50 states.

Battleground states (based on Twitter (X) Data)

Pennsylvania - Trump
Michigan - Harris

Wisconsin - Harris
North Carolina - Trump

Georgia - Trump

Arizona - Trump

Nevada - Trump

hashtag-map.png

 

Candidate

Percent

Alabama

Trump

73

Alaska

Trump

69

Arizona

Trump

58

Arkansas

Trump

64

California

Harris

67

Colorado

Harris

71

Connecticut

Harris

73

Delaware

Harris

62

Florida

Trump

73

Georgia

Trump

55

Hawaii

Harris

62

Idaho

Trump

72

Illinois

Harris

68

Indiana

Trump

76

Iowa

Trump

71

Kansas

Trump

67

Kentucky

Trump

65

Louisiana

Trump

60

Maine

Harris

57

Maryland

Harris

61

Massachusetts

Harris

73

Michigan

Harris

56

Minnesota

Harris

67

Mississippi

Trump

66

Missouri

Trump

70

Montana

Trump

71

Nebraska

Trump

68

Nevada

Trump

62

New Hampshire

Harris

69

New Jersey

Harris

67

New Mexico

Harris

69

New York

Harris

72

North Carolina

Trump

62

North Dakota

Trump

69

Ohio

Trump

57

Oklahoma

Trump

63

Oregon

Harris

72

Pennsylvania

Trump

54

Rhode Island

Harris

68

South Carolina

Trump

66

South Dakota

Trump

62

Tennessee

Trump

65

Texas

Trump

62

Utah

Trump

66

Vermont

Harris

67

Virginia

Harris

63

Washington

Harris

76

West Virginia

Trump

78

Wisconsin

Harris

54

Wyoming

Trump

71

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