Trump Clinton Debate Ratings Bet: 70 Million to 90 Million Experts Predict

Written by:
Guest
Published on:
Sep/26/2016
  • Most books offering out of reach betting option on whether the first Presidential Debate beats Monday Night Football in ratings with Debate priced too high
  • We could see the lowest rated Monday Night Football ratings on record beating out lowest ever in 2007 between the two teams playing this Monday night
  • ”Considering Ronald Reagan vs. Jimmy Carter garnered 80.6 mil eyeballs back in 1980, Trump vs. Clinton should blow that out of the water,” one expert predicts
  • WWE Raw airing at same time could prevent record from being shattered as well

There are a few dozen odds being offered on Monday night’s first Presidential Debate but the Trump-Clinton Debate ratings bet will be among the most sought out. 

Most books were offering head-to-head odds on whether the Debate between Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and GOP nominee Donald Trump will beat Monday Night Football.  This is a no-brainer and the lopsided price puts this one out of reach. 

One good bet might be if this will be the lowest rated Monday Night Football game, especially with two teams that have had losing records in recent seasons going up against one another.

From SI.com

Multiple ad buyers told the Wall Street Journal that they are predicting TV viewership in the range of about 10.3 million to 11 million people for the game. I think it might go even lower. The lowest-ever viewership for a Monday Night game is 8.449 million for a Saints/Falcons game in 2007.

But what about the Debate itself with more than three quarters of adults saying they will be watching at least part of it?

MyBookie did release ratings odds just prior to the Debate

Over 97.5 Million - EVEN
Under 97.5 Million -130

Bonnie Bernstein, Campus Insiders

“Considering Ronald Reagan vs. Jimmy Carter garnered 80.6 mil eyeballs back in 1980, Trump vs. Clinton should blow that out of the water. With the broadcast being available everywhere (TV, mobile, social via Facebook/Twitter), I'd bet the debate cracks the 100 million mark. There are few reasons these days, outside of sports events and awards ceremonies like the Oscars and Emmys, for a show to qualify as ‘appointment viewing.’ This is one of them.”

Tim Burke, editor, Deadspin:

“70 million; the Trump bonus is balanced out by the fact MNF and WWE Raw are on.”

Anthony Crupi, Television Reporter, Advertising Age:

“I would bet a kidney, although preferably not one of my own, that Monday's debate doesn't pull a Super Bowl number. On the one hand, the favorability ratings for the two candidates makes this a hate-watch event unlike any other, unless scientists can figure out a way for the Yankees and Cowboys to compete against each other on an equal footing and Duke basketball plays Coldplay songs at halftime. On the other hand, there are too many marginalized/disaffected/apathetic young and not-so-young people who won't tune in because their candidate isn't up on the dais, or they've long since ditched TV altogether. Oh, and Monday Night Football will wet its beak as well. Let's say Trump-Clinton I draws 74.7* million viewers on linear TV, shy of the record 80.6 million Carter-Reagan scared up in 1980.

Chad Finn, media writer, The Boston Globe:

“It could be a similar spectacle, but the debate won't approach Super Bowl viewership numbers (111.9 million for Broncos-Panthers most recently). The hunch here is that distaste for how the process has played out so far will keep the numbers below the current optimistic nine-figure projections. But there is little doubt it will be the most-watched debate of all time. I’ll put it at 93 million.”

All the major networks will be carrying the Debate with some websites offering live streaming. 

Below are Clinton-Trump 1st Debate odds being offered by our friends at BetOnline:

Monday, Sep 26, 2016

1st Presidential Debate - Hillary Clinton to use exact phrase

Basket of deplorables

09:00 PM

2051

Yes

 

+600

 

2052

No

 

-1000

 

1st Presidential Debate - Hillary Clinton to use exact phrase

Tiny hands

09:00 PM

2053

Yes

 

+1000

 

2054

No

 

-2000

 

1st Presidential Debate - Hillary Clinton to use exact phrase

Trump University

09:00 PM

2055

Yes

 

+165

 

2056

No

 

-190

 

Monday, Sep 26, 2016

1st Presidential Debate - Donald Trump to use exact phrase

Build a wall

09:00 PM

2107

Yes

 

-115

 

2108

No

 

-115

 

1st Presidential Debate - Donald Trump to use exact phrase

Crooked Hillary

09:00 PM

2101

Yes

 

+145

 

2102

No

 

-175

 

1st Presidential Debate - Donald Trump to use exact phrase

Founded ISIS

09:00 PM

2103

Yes

 

+240

 

2104

No

 

-300

 

1st Presidential Debate - Donald Trump to use exact phrase

Make America great again

09:00 PM

2105

Yes

 

-400

 

2106

No

 

+320

 

1st Presidential Debate - Donald Trump to use exact phrase

Monica Lewinsky

09:00 PM

2109

Yes

 

+300

 

2110

No

 

-400

 

Monday, Sep 26, 2016

1st Presidential Debate - Either Candidate to use exact phrase

All lives matter

09:00 PM

2013

Yes

 

+400

 

2014

No

 

-600

 

1st Presidential Debate - Either Candidate to use exact phrase

Black lives matter

09:00 PM

2011

Yes

 

+250

 

2012

No

 

-325

 

1st Presidential Debate - Either Candidate to use exact phrase

Blue lives matter

09:00 PM

2015

Yes

 

+700

 

2016

No

 

-1250

 

1st Presidential Debate - Either Candidate to use exact phrase

Obamacare

09:00 PM

2019

Yes

 

-300

 

2020

No

 

+240

 

1st Presidential Debate - Either Candidate to use exact phrase

Supreme Court

09:00 PM

2025

Yes

 

-600

 

2026

No

 

+400

 

1st Presidential Debate - Either Candidate to use exact phrase

Twitter

09:00 PM

2021

Yes

 

-150

 

2022

No

 

+120

 

1st Presidential Debate - Either Candidate to use exact phrase

Vladimir Putin

09:00 PM

2027

Yes

 

+120

 

2028

No

 

-150

 

1st Presidential Debate - Either Candidate to use exact phrase

Wall Street

09:00 PM

2017

Yes

 

-350

 

2018

No

 

+260

 

1st Presidential Debate - Either Candidate to use exact phrase

Woman card

09:00 PM

2023

Yes

 

+200

 

2024

No

 

-260

 

Monday, Sep 26, 2016

1st Presidential Debate - General Props

Donald Trump to wear red tie

09:00 PM

2021

Yes

 

-800

 

2022

No

 

+500

 

1st Presidential Debate - General Props

Head to Head - Most times used

09:00 PM

2201

Hillary Clinton +2½ Emails

 

-120

 

2202

Donald Trump -2½ Emails

 

-110

 

1st Presidential Debate - General Props

Head to Head - Most times used

09:00 PM

2203

Hillary Clinton +1½ Obama

 

-115

 

2204

Donald Trump -1½ Obama

 

-115

 

1st Presidential Debate - General Props

Head to Head - Most times used

09:00 PM

2205

Hillary Clinton -1½ Economy

 

-140

 

2206

Donald Trump +1½ Economy

 

+110

 

1st Presidential Debate - General Props

Head to Head - Most times used

09:00 PM

2207

Hillary Clinton +1½ America

 

+120

 

2208

Donald Trump -1½ America

 

-150

 

1st Presidential Debate - General Props

Head to Head - Most times used

09:00 PM

2209

Hillary Clinton -½ Jobs

 

+115

 

2210

Donald Trump +½ Jobs

 

-145

 

1st Presidential Debate - General Props

Head to Head - Most times used

09:00 PM

2211

Hillary Clinton -1½ Tax returns

 

-130

 

2212

Donald Trump +1½ Tax returns

 

+100

 

1st Presidential Debate - General Props

Nielsen Rating Head to Head

09:00 PM

2027

MNF (ATL @ NO)

 

+2000

 

2028

Presidential Debate

 

-5000

 

- Gilbert Horowitz, Gambling911.com

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