Trump Clinton Debate Ratings Bet: 70 Million to 90 Million Experts Predict
- Most books offering out of reach betting option on whether the first Presidential Debate beats Monday Night Football in ratings with Debate priced too high
- We could see the lowest rated Monday Night Football ratings on record beating out lowest ever in 2007 between the two teams playing this Monday night
- ”Considering Ronald Reagan vs. Jimmy Carter garnered 80.6 mil eyeballs back in 1980, Trump vs. Clinton should blow that out of the water,” one expert predicts
- WWE Raw airing at same time could prevent record from being shattered as well
There are a few dozen odds being offered on Monday night’s first Presidential Debate but the Trump-Clinton Debate ratings bet will be among the most sought out.
Most books were offering head-to-head odds on whether the Debate between Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and GOP nominee Donald Trump will beat Monday Night Football. This is a no-brainer and the lopsided price puts this one out of reach.
One good bet might be if this will be the lowest rated Monday Night Football game, especially with two teams that have had losing records in recent seasons going up against one another.
From SI.com
Multiple ad buyers told the Wall Street Journal that they are predicting TV viewership in the range of about 10.3 million to 11 million people for the game. I think it might go even lower. The lowest-ever viewership for a Monday Night game is 8.449 million for a Saints/Falcons game in 2007.
But what about the Debate itself with more than three quarters of adults saying they will be watching at least part of it?
MyBookie did release ratings odds just prior to the Debate.
Over 97.5 Million - EVEN
Under 97.5 Million -130
Bonnie Bernstein, Campus Insiders
“Considering Ronald Reagan vs. Jimmy Carter garnered 80.6 mil eyeballs back in 1980, Trump vs. Clinton should blow that out of the water. With the broadcast being available everywhere (TV, mobile, social via Facebook/Twitter), I'd bet the debate cracks the 100 million mark. There are few reasons these days, outside of sports events and awards ceremonies like the Oscars and Emmys, for a show to qualify as ‘appointment viewing.’ This is one of them.”
Tim Burke, editor, Deadspin:
“70 million; the Trump bonus is balanced out by the fact MNF and WWE Raw are on.”
Anthony Crupi, Television Reporter, Advertising Age:
“I would bet a kidney, although preferably not one of my own, that Monday's debate doesn't pull a Super Bowl number. On the one hand, the favorability ratings for the two candidates makes this a hate-watch event unlike any other, unless scientists can figure out a way for the Yankees and Cowboys to compete against each other on an equal footing and Duke basketball plays Coldplay songs at halftime. On the other hand, there are too many marginalized/disaffected/apathetic young and not-so-young people who won't tune in because their candidate isn't up on the dais, or they've long since ditched TV altogether. Oh, and Monday Night Football will wet its beak as well. Let's say Trump-Clinton I draws 74.7* million viewers on linear TV, shy of the record 80.6 million Carter-Reagan scared up in 1980.
Chad Finn, media writer, The Boston Globe:
“It could be a similar spectacle, but the debate won't approach Super Bowl viewership numbers (111.9 million for Broncos-Panthers most recently). The hunch here is that distaste for how the process has played out so far will keep the numbers below the current optimistic nine-figure projections. But there is little doubt it will be the most-watched debate of all time. I’ll put it at 93 million.”
All the major networks will be carrying the Debate with some websites offering live streaming.
Below are Clinton-Trump 1st Debate odds being offered by our friends at BetOnline:
Monday, Sep 26, 2016 |
|||||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2051 |
Yes |
+600 |
||||
2052 |
No |
-1000 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2053 |
Yes |
+1000 |
||||
2054 |
No |
-2000 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2055 |
Yes |
+165 |
||||
2056 |
No |
-190 |
|||||
Monday, Sep 26, 2016 |
|||||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2107 |
Yes |
-115 |
||||
2108 |
No |
-115 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2101 |
Yes |
+145 |
||||
2102 |
No |
-175 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2103 |
Yes |
+240 |
||||
2104 |
No |
-300 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2105 |
Yes |
-400 |
||||
2106 |
No |
+320 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2109 |
Yes |
+300 |
||||
2110 |
No |
-400 |
|||||
Monday, Sep 26, 2016 |
|||||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2013 |
Yes |
+400 |
||||
2014 |
No |
-600 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2011 |
Yes |
+250 |
||||
2012 |
No |
-325 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2015 |
Yes |
+700 |
||||
2016 |
No |
-1250 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2019 |
Yes |
-300 |
||||
2020 |
No |
+240 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2025 |
Yes |
-600 |
||||
2026 |
No |
+400 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2021 |
Yes |
-150 |
||||
2022 |
No |
+120 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2027 |
Yes |
+120 |
||||
2028 |
No |
-150 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2017 |
Yes |
-350 |
||||
2018 |
No |
+260 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2023 |
Yes |
+200 |
||||
2024 |
No |
-260 |
|||||
Monday, Sep 26, 2016 |
|||||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2021 |
Yes |
-800 |
||||
2022 |
No |
+500 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2201 |
Hillary Clinton +2½ Emails |
-120 |
||||
2202 |
Donald Trump -2½ Emails |
-110 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2203 |
Hillary Clinton +1½ Obama |
-115 |
||||
2204 |
Donald Trump -1½ Obama |
-115 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2205 |
Hillary Clinton -1½ Economy |
-140 |
||||
2206 |
Donald Trump +1½ Economy |
+110 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2207 |
Hillary Clinton +1½ America |
+120 |
||||
2208 |
Donald Trump -1½ America |
-150 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2209 |
Hillary Clinton -½ Jobs |
+115 |
||||
2210 |
Donald Trump +½ Jobs |
-145 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2211 |
Hillary Clinton -1½ Tax returns |
-130 |
||||
2212 |
Donald Trump +1½ Tax returns |
+100 |
|||||
|
|||||||
09:00 PM |
2027 |
MNF (ATL @ NO) |
+2000 |
||||
2028 |
Presidential Debate |
-5000 |
- Gilbert Horowitz, Gambling911.com