Texas’ Latest Primary Odds Lengthen for Both Races

All eyes will be on the state of Texas Tuesday March 3 as the Senate primary votes are collected and counted.

The Democratic race is a tight one, but James Talarico’s lead in terms of odds has lengthened since late last week. The odds now imply a 64% probability of victory.

For the GOP primary, most polls are projecting a runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and challenger Ken Paxton, but the odds show Paxton as a massive favorite.

Paxton's margin of victory odds for 10 percent or higher have gone from 33/1 to 12/1, so people are betting on a potential landslide.

Texas Democratic Primary Winner

James Talarico 4/7 (-175)

Jasmine Crockett 7/5 (+140)

(NOTE: Odds equate to a 64% implied probability Talarico will win. He was 60% last week.)

Texas Democratic Primary - Margin of Victory

Talarico 0-2.49% (3/1)

Crockett 0-2.49% (4/1)

Talarico 2.50-4.99% (5/1)

Crockett 2.50-4.99% (7/1)

Talarico 5.00-7.49% (8/1)

Crockett 5.00-7.49% (9/1)

Talarico 7.50-9.99% (9/1)

Talarico 10% or Higher (9/1)

Crockett 7.50-9.99% (14/1)

Crockett 10% or Higher (15/1)

Texas Republican Primary Winner

Ken Paxton (1/7)

John Cornyn (4/1)

Wesley Hunt (33/1)

(NOTE: Odds equate to an 88% implied probability Paxton will win)

Texas Republican Primary - Margin of Victory

Paxton 2.50-4.99% (3/2)

Paxton 0-2.49% (3/1)

Paxton 5.00-7.49% (5/1)

Cornyn 0-2.49% (7/1)

Paxton 7.50-9.99% (8/1)

Paxton 10% or Higher (12/1)

Cornyn 2.50-4.99% (16/1)

Cornyn 5.00-7.49% (33/1)

Any Other Result (40/1)

Cornyn 7.50% or Higher (65/1)

- BetOnline Press