Odds, Probabilities for Senate and House Elections, Head-to-Head Matchups - 2024

Written by:
Guest
Published on:
Nov/03/2024

BetOnline.ag is offering two types of Senate markets: Margin of Victory and Head-to-Head.

The House odds are head-to-head matchups, and you can see the implied probability of a victory by the favorite below each set of numbers.

Currently, the Republicans are better than a 1/6 favorite (-625) to control the Senate while the Democrats come back as 9/2 (+450) underdogs.

For the House seat majority, it’s an old-school tossup as both parties have equal odds.

If you are able to use this information, please consider citing the source. And if you need a quote from an oddsmaker or anything else, please let me know.

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U.S. SENATE ELECTIONS (MOV)

 

Texas - Cruz's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 4%

 

Nebraska (Regular) - Fischer's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 4%

 

Florida - Scott's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 7%

 

New Mexico - Heinrich's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 11%

 

Maryland - Alsobrooks' Margin of Victory

Over/Under 12%

 

Virginia - Kaine's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 12%

 

Missouri - Hawley's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 14%

 

New Jersey - Kim's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 14%

 

Minnesota - Klobochar's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 15%

 

Indiana - Banks' Margin of Victory

Over/Under 17%

 

Delaware - Blunt's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 18%

 

Connecticut - Murphy's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 19%

 

Mississippi - Wicker's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 20%

 

Washington - Cantwell's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 20%

 

New York - Gillibrand's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 21%

 

Rhode Island - Whitehouse's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 22%

 

Nebraska (Special) - Rickett's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 22%

 

Tennessee - Blackburn's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 24%

 

California - Schiff's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 25%

 

Massachusetts - Warren's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 27%

 

Utah - Curtis' Margin of Victory

Over/Under 30%

 

West Virginia - Justice's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 37%

 

North Dakota - Cramer's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 37%

 

Hawaii - Horono's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 38%

 

Vermont - Sanders' Margin of Victory

Over/Under 40%

 

Wyoming - Barrasso's Margin of Victory

Over/Under 44%

 

 

U.S. SENATE ELECTION (HEAD-TO-HEAD)

 

Michigan

   

Elissa Slotkin (D)

 

-275

Mike Rogers (R)

 

+215

(Odds imply a 73% probability Slotkin will win)

     

Ohio

   

Bernie Moreno (R)

 

-210

Sherrod Brown (D)

 

+170

(Odds imply a 68% probability Moreno will win)

     

Pennsylvania

   

Bob Casey (D)

 

-260

David McCormick (R)

 

+200

(Odds imply a 72% probability Casey will win)

     

Wisconsin

   

Tammy Baldwin (D)

 

-200

Eric Hovde (R)

 

+160

(Odds imply a 67% probability Baldwin will win)

     

Arizona

   

Ruben Gallego (D)

 

-400

Kari Lake (R)

 

+300

(Odds imply an 80% probability Gallego will win)

     

Montana

   

Tim Sheehy (R)

 

-700

Jon Tester (D)

 

+450

(Odds imply an 88% probability Sheehy will win)

     

Nevada

   

Jacky Rosen (D)

 

-400

Sam Brown (R)

 

+300

(Odds imply an 80% probability Rosen will win)

     

Florida

   

Rick Scott (R)

 

-1500

Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D)

+850

(Odds imply a 94% probability Scott will win)

     

Nebraska

   

Deb Fischer (R)

 

-300

Dan Osborn (I)

 

+240

(Odds imply a 75% probability Fischer will win)

     

Texas

   

Ted Cruz (R)

 

-600

Colin Allred (D)

 

+375

(Odds imply an 86% probability Cruz will win)

 

 

HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVE ELECTIONS - https://betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/us-election/house-of-representatives-election

 

Alaska-At Large

   

Mary Peltola (D)

 

-120

Nick Begich (R)

 

-120

(Odds imply a tossup election)

 
     

Arizona-01

   

David Schweikert (R)

 

-275

Amish Shah (D)

 

+185

(Odds imply a 73% probability Schweikert will win)

     

Arizona-06

   

Juan Ciscomani (R)

 

-170

Kirsten Engel (D)

 

+130

(Odds imply a 63% probability Ciscomani will win)

     

California-13

   

Adam Gray (D)

 

-200

John Duarte (R)

 

+150

(Odds imply a 67% probability Gray will win)

     

California-22

   

David Valadao (R)

 

-120

Rudy Salas (D)

 

-120

(Odds imply a tossup election)

 
     

California-41

   

Ken Calvert (R)

 

-225

Will Rollins (D)

 

+160

(Odds imply a 69% probability Calvert will win)

     

Florida-13

   

Anna Paulina Luna (R)

 

-1000

Whitney Fox (D)

 

+550

(Odds imply a 91% probability Luna will win)

     

Iowa-01

   

Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)

-165

Christina Bohannan (D)

 

+125

(Odds imply a 62% probability Miller-Meeks will win)

     

Iowa-03

   

Zach Nunn (R)

 

-400

Lanon Baccam (D)

 

+250

(Odds imply an 80% probability Nunn will win)

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