Pete Hegseth Impeached by June 30 Won't Happen But You Can Bet on it

Written by :

t c jackson

Published on :

15 April, 2026

Democrats to file articles of impeachment against Pete Hegseth on Wednesday
Prediction markets currently give Hegseth a 6% chance of being impeached by the end of June

House Democrats will introduce five articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on Wednesday accusing him of abuse of power, war crimes and other serious wrongdoing.

The odds of this happening by June 30 are slim to none with Polymarket traders giving this a 6% chance.

The resolution, led by Rep. Yassamin Ansari of Arizona, lists six impeachment articles:

Unauthorized war against Iran and reckless endangerment of U.S. service members;
Violations of the law of armed conflict and targeting of civilians;
Negligence and reckless handling of sensitive military information;
Obstruction of congressional oversight;
Abuse of power and politicization of the armed forces;
Conduct bringing disrepute upon the U.S. and its armed forces.

$149,233 in volume had been realized thus far at Polymarket.

Resolving This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.