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A US Government shutdown is almost a "lock", according to the oddsmakers at BetOnline.
Will there be a govt. shutdown before February 1?
The YES was coming in at -800. In other words, it's practically guaranteed.
After the historic 43-day shutdown of the U.S. Government in the fall of 2025, the latest odds suggest we'll see another impasse between parties that will shut the government down again on January 30.
BetOnline.ag has shutdown probability numbers up since the January 1, and the odds have swung massively toward "YES" during the past 48 hours.
Here are the changes:
(ODDS ON SATURDAY MORNING)
Will there be a govt. shutdown before February 1?
Yes +350
No -600
(ODDS ON MONDAY MORNING)
Will there be a govt. shutdown before February 1?
Yes -800
No +425
The current odds imply an 89 percent probability the government will shut down.
What Changed?
Democratic senators are vowing to oppose a funding bill for the Department of Homeland Security following the shooting death of a 37-year-old Minnesota man, potentially leading to the US government shutdown by February 1.
Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer, in a social media post hours after the Saturday shooting, said that what is happening in Minnesota is “appalling” and that Democrats “will not provide the votes to proceed to the appropriations bill if the DHS funding bill is included.”
If senators fail to act by midnight Friday, funding for Homeland Security and the other agencies covered under the six bills will lapse.
“Democrats sought common sense reforms in the Department of Homeland Security spending bill, but because of Republicans’ refusal to stand up to President Trump, the DHS bill is woefully inadequate to rein in the abuses of ICE,” said Schumer, D-N.Y. “I will vote no.”
Republicans will need some Democratic support to pass the remaining spending bills in time to avoid a partial shutdown.
T.C. Jackson, Gambling911.com Political Correspondent
