Nevada Democratic Caucus Too Tight to Call by Oddsmakers

Written by:
Gilbert Horowitz
Published on:
Feb/16/2016
Nevada Democratic Caucus Too Tight to Call by Oddsmakers

The Nevada Democratic Caucus is being viewed as extremely competitive with no clear-cut favorite among the oddsmakers.

BetOnline has Hillary Clinton at -150, requiring a $15 bet to win $10 (the $15 is refunded only if she wins), thus making the former Secretary of State the de facto favorite.  But Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders was listed at -120, with a payout potential of $12 for every $10 should he win. 

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“We could see both of these candidates at EVEN odds before all is said and done ahead of Saturday’s Democratic Caucus,” suggests Gambling911.com Senior Editor Payton O’Brien, who advised that site traffic for both the South Carolina Primaries and Nevada Caucuses was brisk days advance of voting.

The Democratic Caucus in Nevada will take place Saturday (February 20) while the Republican Primary will occur in South Carolina at the same time.  The Republican caucus in Nevada will take place the following Tuesday (February 23) and the Democratic Primary in South Carolina the following Saturday (February 27).

Polling in Nevada has proven especially difficult with internals suggesting a very tight race. 

Wall Street Journal reporter Byron Tau commented: "Nevada is the third state in the Democratic nominating process, but only six public polls have been conducted in the last year. Iowa, by contrast, was polled nine times in January alone—and nearly 100 times in the year leading up to the February caucuses. New Hampshire residents were polled nearly 50 times in the weeks leading up to their primary. As a result of the scarcity of public polling, the race between Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders in the state is almost totally unknown."

- Gilbert Horowitz, Gambling911.com

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