Mikie Sherrill Odds of Becoming Next New Jersey Governor Now -600, Margin of Victory Betting Available Too
One of the more exciting political races this Tuesday in the US is most certainly the New Jersey Governor race where Democrat Mikie Sherrill is now the clear favorite to win (-600). Those odds are similar to a line you would see on the Chiefs beating the Jets in Kansas City (ouch).
This wasn't always the case as Jack Ciattarelli (R), now paying out $425 for every $100 bet to win, kept this one relatively close (by NJ standards at least).
Former President Barack Obama is encouraging voters to elect Democratic governors in Virginia and New Jersey in races this Tuesday to rebuke Donald Trump 10 months into his second presidency and a year ahead of midterm elections that could reshape it.
Obama’s appearances Saturday for Abigail Spanberger and Sherrill contrast with Trump spending the weekend at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida, leaving Republicans Winsome Earle-Sears in Virginia and Jack Ciattarelli in New Jersey to campaign for themselves.
Political betting interest is really heating up here at Gambling911.com with the Minneapolis Mayoral race drawing the most queries over the weekend.
Two of the top three search terms coming to the site related to that particular race.
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Last Week's Odds for Tuesday's Elections
Next California Governor
Alex Padilla +275
Katie Porter +275
Rick Caruso +550
Stephen Cloobeck +550
Antonio Villaraigosa +700
Xavier Becerra +1000
Steve Hilton +1400
Ro Khanna +
Tom Steyer +2800
Betty Yee +5000
Butch Ware +5000
Chad Bianco +5000
Eleni Kounalakis +5000
Eric Garcetti +
Kamala Harris +8000
Toni Atkins +8000
Tony Thurmond +8000
Michael Younger +10000
Nicole Shanahan +10000
Caitlyn Jenner +20000
Mel Gibson +
Next, another 2026 race attracting headlines for the wrong reasons, at least as far as the Democrats are concerned, but Maine enters as a vital race the U.S. Senate.
Graham Platner – a progressive endorsed by Bernie Sanders – admitted yesterday that he had a skull tattoo associated with the Nazis that he unwittingly got while serving as a 23-year-old Marine. Platner had been the early favorite, but had already fallen behind Governor Janet Mills after she entered the race last week. Mills is now a very strong favorite.
Maine U.S. Senator – Democratic Primary
Janet Mills -400
Graham Platner +250
Dan Kleban +3300
Jordan Wood +5000
(NOTE: Odds imply an 80% chance Mills wins election.)
South Carolina U.S. Senator – Republican Primary
Lindsay Graham -275
Paul Dans +275
Thomas Murphy +900
Mark Lynch +900
(NOTE: Odds imply a 73% chance Graham wins election.)
Of the two big Governor races scheduled for November 4, New Jersey looks to be the more interesting by a wide margin.
Republicans came close to pulling off a huge upset in the previous gubernatorial race in NJ, and we have seen a ton of money come in backing Jack Ciattarelli. Nevertheless, Mikie Sherrill remains a firm favorite for the Democrats.
Next New Jersey Governor
Mikie Sherrill (D) -500
Jack Ciattarelli (R) +375
(NOTE: Odds imply an 83% chance Sherrill wins election.)
New Jersey Governor Margin of Victory
Sherrill 2.50-4.99%
Sherrill 5.00-7.49%
Ciattarelli 0-2.49% +
Sherrill 7.50-9.99%
Sherrill 0-2.49%
Sherrill 10.00-12.49% +
Ciattarelli 2.50-4.99% +
Sherrill 12.50-14.99% +
Sherrill 15% or Higher +2800
Ciattarelli 5% or Higher +4500
Next Virginia Governor
Abigail Spanberger (D) -3000
Winsome Earle-Sears (R) +1400
(NOTE: Odds imply a 97% chance Spanberger wins election.)
Virginia Governor Margin of Victory
Spanberger 10.00-12.49% +265
Spanberger 7.50-9.99% +300
Spanberger 12.50-14.99% +400
Spanberger 5.00-7.49% +400
Spanberger 15% or Higher +700
Spanberger 2.50-4.99% +1200
Earle-Sears 0-2.49% +1500
Spanberger 0-2.49% +2200
Earle-Sears 2.5% or Higher +4000
All the signals surrounding the New York City Mayoral race point to progressive frontrunner Zohran Mamdani, even after incumbent Eric Adams withdrew in a move many assumed would aid Andrew Cuomo.
Next New York City Mayor
Zohran Mamdani -2000
Andrew Cuomo +1000
Curtis Sliwa +10000
(NOTE: Odds imply a 95% chance Mamdani wins election.)
Mamdani Vote Share
50.00-54.99% +
45.00-49.99% +
55.00-59.99% +
60.00-64.99% +
40.00-44.99% +
65% or Higher +3000
Under 40% +6500
A far more competitive race is taking place in Minneapolis, where two Democrats are battling for mayor. Incumbent Jacob Frey remains ahead of progressive Omar Fateh.
Next Minneapolis Mayor
Jacob Frey -225
Omar Fateh +165
(NOTE: Odds imply a 69% chance Spanberger wins election.)
Finally, we have odds for the Mayoral races in Miami and Seattle, as well as projections for the Virginia Attorney General election.
Next Miami Mayor
Eileen Higgins -140
Ken Russell +275
Emilio Gonzalez +450
Xavier Suarez +1200
Joe Carollo +
(NOTE: Odds imply a 58% chance Higgins wins election.)
Next Seattle Mayor
Katie Wilson -350
Bruce Harrell +225
(NOTE: Odds imply a 78% chance Wilson wins election.)
Next Virginia Attorney General
Jason Miyares -140
Jay Jones +
(NOTE: Odds imply a 58% chance Miyares wins election.)
All odds are subject to change and updated in real time. Here are the pages to see each without logging in:
- TC Jackson, Gambling911.com
