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A new betting market has gamblers backing that Vice President and presumptive Democratic nominee for US president Kamala Harris will be chosen this year's Time Person of the Year.
46% of those betting this market at Manifold have Harris as the choice, followed at 20% by GOP nominee and former president Donald Trump.
Harris was still at -125 odds to win in November. Trump came in at +105 odds at BetOnline.
Resolution Examples from Manifold include:
In 2020 I would have resolved 50% to Joe Biden and 50% to Kamala Harris if they were both submitted, or 100% to Joe Biden if Kamala Harris was not submitted. I would not resolve to "Joe Biden and Kamala Harris" in any scenario, and would only resolve to "Other" if neither was submitted as an option.
In 2022 I would have resolved 50% to Zelenskyy and 50% to "The Spirit of Ukraine" if they were both submitted, or 100% to Zelenskyy if "The Spirit of Ukraine" was not submitted. If neither answer was submitted but "The Country of Ukraine" was, I would have resolved this market 100% to "The Country of Ukraine."
I would only resolve to "Other" if neither was submitted as an option, and no similar concepts/groups or individuals representative of "The Spirit of Ukraine" were submitted.
"Other" always resolves either to 0% or 100%. Please keep this in mind for your wagers.
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