FBI Director Kash Patel's Scary Polymarket Exit Chances Revealed: Half Say Out By April 30

Submitted by Jagajeet Chiba on

Written by :

Jagajeet Chiba

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Kash Patel
  • Scathing article appearing in The Atlantic accuses FBI Director of "excessive drinking and unexplained absences"

  • Kash Patel responded on X Saturday saying he plans to take outlet to court

  • Traders at Polymarket are giving him just shy of a 50% chance of still being around by April 30

FBI Director Kash Patel fired back at The Atlantic after its correspondent, Sarah Fitzpatrick, ran a piece Friday claiming he had a “freak-out” when a computer glitch convinced him he had been fired while also reporting that Patel “has alarmed colleagues with episodes of excessive drinking and unexplained absences.”

The article title says it all.  

"The FBI Director Is MIA"

Patel denied the allegations on Saturday.  He tweeted out on X: 

““[S]ee you and your entire entourage of false reporting in court. But do keep at it with the fake news, actual malice standard is now what some would call a legal lay up.”

He referred to the outlet as "fake news" and said no amount of “BS” news outlets write “will ever deter this FBI from making America safe again.”

Patel also reshared a post from Erica Knight, whom CBS News previously reported is Patel’s longtime publicist, which said the alleged intoxication incidents happened “ZERO times” and that Patel has taken a total of 17 days off since taking office, which she says is less than half of his predecessors.

The prediction markets are not taking kindly to Patel..and that Atlantic article certainly is playing a role in driving trades.  We know this because his odds of being gone by month's end sat at just 4% 48 hours ago. 

Polymarket traders have him out by June 30 with a 60% chance and by year's end with a 73% chance (nearly three quarters of all traders). 

$162,656  has him out by the end of this month.  That's nearly 50 percent of traders. 

Consider that Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth has long been among the favorites to be next to exit the administration of Donald Trump.  Hegseth's chances of being gone by end of June are just 19%. 

The betting market on Tulsi Gabbard, the Director of National Intelligence, being ousted has been among the most sought after here at Gambling911.com over the past year yet her chances of departing by June 30 are a mere 24%.

  • Jagajeet Chiba, Gambling911.com 

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