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Pittsburgh is 4-2 looking forward to a meeting with 3-3 Louisville. The line on this game was moving from Cardinals -1.5 to -2.5. Louisville is given a 75.54 power rating by Sagarin this week, which puts them just inside the top 50 teams. Pittsburgh, with the better record, was at No. 48, two slots down from the Cardinals and with a power rating of 74.58. With home field advantage, we get a number of Louisville 2.9, making this line accurate to a tee.
How Teams Have Performed With a Line on the Money This Season
We examined games that were anywhere from -2.5 to -14 in college football but do not include all such games if the teams are deemed as "less competitive" (typically those falling outside the Sagarin Top 70).
This sampling also pertains to those games that remained within a 1 to 2 point overlay or underlay during the course of a week before or after hitting an accurate number. Anything within a point is considered accurate.
These findings reflect through Week 6 and do not include last week.
Our findings:
(favorite-dog-push):
1-8-1 (these games were hitting or crossing over or just under the number 3 at some point during the course of the week leading up to game time).
4-4-2 (these games were hitting or crossing over or just under the 6 with a range to just over 7 at some point during the course of the week leading up to game time).
5-0-0 (these games were hitting or crossing over or just under the number 10 with a line range just over the number 14 during the courese of the week leading up to the game.
Expert Picks on Pittsburgh vs. Louisville
BetUS host Gary Segars, and college football expert handicappers Kyle Hunter and Parker Fleming preview College Football Week 8 game between Pittsburgh and Louisville. They'll go over the best value college football odds available and betting trends and share their College Football expert picks and predictions.
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
