NCAAF No. 5 Oregon vs. No. 3 Washington Pac-12 Title Betting Prediction

Written by:
Tony Caliente
Published on:
Nov/28/2023

It’s the No. 5 Oregon Ducks (11-1, 8-1 conference) and third-ranked Washington Huskies (12-0, 9-0) in the Pac-12 title game. Washington was a 36-33 winner earlier this season in Seattle.

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Game time at Allegiant Stadium in suburban Las Vegas is 8 PM (ET).

This is the pairing everyone was expecting, with a berth in the College Football Playoff at stake,

Oregon ended its regular season with a handy, 31-7 Civil War home win over Oregon St.  Quarterback Bo Nix (367 yards, two touchdowns) again led the way.

Washington has had some issues in recent games, its last three wins by a combined dozen points. The Huskies needed a field goal at the gun to win the Apple Cup, 24-21, against Washington St.  

These teams average 80  points per game between them, 42 by Oregon.

Oregon is a beefy 9½-point favorite (total at 66½), according to college football odds.

Moneyline is Ducks -375, Huskies at +295.    

Washington is leading the all-time series, 62-48-5

Quacking the Code

Only the LSU Tigers average more yards per game than the Ducks of Oregon (541.1 to 524).

The aforementioned quarterback Bo Nix (3,907 passing yards, 37 touchdowns, two interceptions) is having a terrific season leading the Ducks. He’s completed nearly 79 percent of his passes with an overflow arsenal of weapons.

Wide receivers Troy Franklin (77 receptions, 1,349 yards, 14 touchdowns) and Tez Johnson (70 receptions, 942 yards, nine touchdowns) are as potent a duo as any in the college game.

Running back Bucky Irving (1,043 yards, 10 touchdowns) adds another 48 receptions to this resume, while Jordan James also has 10 ground touchdowns.

Oregon is top-15 nationally in defense, having surrendered 316.6 yards per game.

Washington’s “Ugly” Perfection

There are just four undefeated major college  pograms this season (five with Liberty), and the Washington Huskies are one of them.

That doesn’t mean it’s always been pretty.  As was mentioned, the last three Husky wins have been a total of 12 points. There’s something to be said about winning the close games, but eventually that formula is going the other way.

Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. (3,899 passing yards, 32 touchdowns, eight interceptions) has done his share of tilting the scoreboard (see the first game between the teams).

Wide receiver Rome Odunze (73 receptions, 1,326 yards. 13 touchdowns) is the target of choice, while Dillon Johnson’s 961 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns both lead the team.

Grab the Points

Oregon is 5-1 (+500) to win the title, Washington is 16-1 (+1600), as per college football championship odds.

Obviously, the Oregon Ducks are playing much better than the Washington Huskies at this time. However, this spread is way too large to ignore. Oregon needs to play a nearly perfect game to win by double digits in here. We’re not sure about that.  

Washington quarterback Michael Penix Jr. will make the plays to keep his team in this game, the Huskies staying within the margins of Bo Nix and the Ducks.

Take the Washington Huskies +9½ in the Pac-12 title game, though it’s the Oregon Ducks leaving Las Vegas with a win.

- Tony Caliente, Gambling911.com

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