Oklahoma Thunder Betting Tips and Trends

Written by:
Dan Shapiro
Published on:

The Oklahoma Thunder rose to No. 3 on Sagarin as of December 22 as the team promises great things for 2023-24.  They were previously sitting at No. 5.


January 8

The Thunder have not had three failed covers in a row yet this season.  But they opened as a -11 favorite in Washington and that number has moved as high as 12 before a brief drop to 10.5 and back to 11.

The Thunder have won four of their last six games. They are playing well offensively, scoring more than 118 points per game on the road.

They are coming off of two road losses and still have to face the Heat to complete this trip.

The Wizards are not good defensively and give up more than 126 points per game at home.

We actually have the Thunder able to win by 13 points here and are not coming off a back-to-back or missing any players.

December 22

The Thunder opening as a -7 or greater favorite when there is an underlay detected have gone 4-0 since November 22 when they faced off against the Chicago Bulls.  Remarkably, they have not been big favorites in most games.

Saturday night they are set to host the Lakers where they should be a -9.5 favorite.  Instead they opened as a -4 home favorite, which is definitely enticing.

In Oklahoma City these teams have split wins and losses over the last four though the Thunder beat LA badly.

The Thunder are 7-2 in their last nine games overall while the Lakers are currently on a four-game losing streak.  LA with their backs up against the wall could result in a pass on this one.

November 18

The Thunder have covered in five of their last six games.

Oklahoma City will take on the Warriors again in Golden State after they just beat them there. The number on Golden State still came in at 1.42.  Be mindful that the Thunder take on an Oregon team that will be even more short-handed the next night. 

Golden State is on a five game skid.  Stephen Curry is dealing with a knee injury.  Draymond Green will miss four more contests.

OKC did lose previously at home to Golden State by two points.

We'd anticipate another line completely out of whack here.

November 17

The Thunder promised an 80-1 payout even though they are ranked so high on Sagarin and owned an 8-4 record coming into Saturday night's game against the imploding Warriors.

The Sagarin number for Oklahoma Thunder is 93.37.

The lines for Thunder games have been way off up to this point.  We have four out of five overlays, one of which went against Oklahoma City (a win by the Kings at Sacramento). 

11/8 vs. Cavs – Oklahoma 3.99, actual line Cleveland –1 to –2.5, overlay of 5 to 6.5 and wrong team favored.  Thunder wins.  Action was balanced.  

11/10 at Kings – Sacramento 0.87, actual line Oklahoma –3 to –1.5, overlay of 2.5 to 4 and wrong team favored.  Sacramento wins. Oklahoma was seeing around 70% of the action.  

11/12 at Suns – Phoenix 1.53, actual line Suns –2.5, overlay of just one point.  OKC wins by 12 points.  

11/14 vs. Spurs – OKC 12.62, actual line Thunder –9 to –10.5 underlay of 2 to 3.5.  Huge win by OKC.  Action was 73 percent on the Thunder.  

11/16 at Warriors – Golden State 1.42, actual line OKC –2 to –3, overlay of 3.5 to 4.5 and wrong team favored.  OKC wins by 19 points. 61% of action on the Thunder. 

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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