Odds on Who Retires First: Tom Brady or Aaron Rodgers

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:

It was another dismal week for two of the NFL's star quarterbacks: Tom Brady of the Tampa Bay Bucs and Aaron Rodgers of the Green Bay Packers. Now the oddsmakers at BetOnline are offering odds on which of these two quarterbacks will retire first.


One of the top three favorites to win the 2023 Super Bowl, Tampa Bay, has now fallen below the .500 mark and they lost to arguably one of the weakest teams in the league on Sunday, the Carolina Panthers.

And it wasn't even close.  Tampa Bay lost to Carolina 21-3.  The Panthers were starting a third string quarterback and just traded away their top player to the San Francisco 49ers, Christian McCaffrey, two days earlier.

The defeat left the seven-time Super Bowl champion probably wishing he had stayed retired.

“No one feels good about where we’re at,” Brady said. “No one feels good about how we played or what we’re doing. We’re all in it together, and we have to pull ourselves out of it.”

Brady hasn’t had a losing record this far into a season since the 2002 New England Patriots dropped four straight games to fall to 3-4.

Then there is the Green Bay Packers.  They dropped their game in Washington to the under .500 Commanders.  It's the Packers third straight loss and they are now 3-4 Straight Up.  They are 2-5 Against The Spread.

Rodgers is nursing a sore thumb.  The four-time NFL MVP was 23 of 35 for 194 yards and the Packers went 0 of 6 on third down.

Green Bay (3-4) had just 232 total yards of offense and also lost Allen Lazard to a shoulder injury.  Lazard is the team's third wide receiver to go down over the last three weeks.

''We just got to play better - all of us,'' said Rodgers, who taped his throwing hand at halftime after jamming the thumb on a couple of snaps. ''There's probably a number of plays in every phase that we could've done better. The margin of error is so tight, a couple calls don't necessarily go our way and we don't execute at all on offense in certain situations. ...

''It's not winning football.''

Following Sunday's frustrating losses, BetOnline has seen both players's retirement chances increase at a significant amount. Here are the current numbers:

Will Tom Brady announce retirement before Week 1 of the 2023 NFL Season?

Yes      -500   

No       +300  

Will Aaron Rodgers announce retirement before Week 1 of the 2023 NFL Season?

Yes      -300

No       +200  

The Packers now have 33/1 Super Bowl odds, which is their highest mark since the 2018 season. Tampa Bay is listed at 18/1 and that is the team's highest odds since Brady took over.

The Pack are underdogs to reach the playoffs (+500 for NFC North), and the only reason the Bucs are favored to advance is because of the feeble division they compete in.

Will Packers make the playoffs?

Yes      +160

No       -200

Will Buccaneers make the playoffs?

Yes      -230

No       +190

Super Bowl LVII Odds

Buffalo Bills                             +275

Philadelphia Eagles                 +500

Kansas City Chiefs                   +750

San Francisco 49ers                +1200

Minnesota Vikings                  +1600

Baltimore Ravens                    +1800

Dallas Cowboys                       +1800

Tampa Bay Buccaneers           +1800

Cincinnati Bengals                  +2200

Los Angeles Chargers              +2500

Los Angeles Rams                   +2500

Green Bay Packers                  +3300

Miami Dolphins                      +3300

New York Giants                     +4000

Las Vegas Raiders                   +5000

Tennessee Titans                    +5000

New England Patriots             +6000

New York Jets                         +6000

Arizona Cardinals                    +8000

Indianapolis Colts                   +8000

New Orleans Saints                 +10000

Seattle Seahawks                    +10000

Cleveland Browns                   +12500

Denver Broncos                      +12500

Jacksonville Jaguars                +12500

Atlanta Falcons                       +15000

Washington Commanders      +20000

Carolina Panthers                   +40000

Detroit Lions                           +40000

Chicago Bears                         +50000

Pittsburgh Steelers                 +50000

Houston Texans                      +100000

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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