Free Baseball Pick: Giants vs. Cardinals

Submitted by C Costigan on

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C Costigan

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The St. Louis Cardinals host the San Francisco Giants in a pivotal National League series this weekend. Both teams are slumping a bit, so it will be interesting to see which team puts their best foot forward in this series. Not only are these two teams fighting to stay relevant within their own division, but they are also fighting for the National League Wild Card. The Cardinals are -145 favorites tonight, with a total of 8 runs expected. This clash will be broadcast by MLB-TV starting at 8:15 EDT.

St. Louis has their work cut out for them, as they are facing one of the most underrated teams in baseball in the San Francisco Giants. St. Louis is attempting to chase down Cincinnati, as they currently trail them by 3 games in the National League Central division. The Cardinals have lost their past 4 games, so they need to pick up the pace if they are to catch the red hot Reds. St. Louis is 65-53 SU this season, including 39-22 SU at home. The Cardinals are -9.57 and -7.55 units both SU and on the RL this year. Pitcher Jake Westbrook will make the home start tonight, as he is 1-0 with an ERA of 3.32 and a WHIP of 0.95 with the Cardinals this year. The Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 games against the National League West. St. Louis is 25-8 in their last 33 Friday games overall. The Cardinals are 8-3 in their last 11 games following an off day. St. Louis is 48-19 in their last 67 during game 1 of a series. The Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

The Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 home games against a team with a winning record. The Over is 7-1-1 in their last 9 games following an off day.

San Francisco has plenty of ground to make up in the National League West division, as they trail San Diego by a full 6 games. The Giants have been merely average of late, as they have struggled against the best teams in their league. Facing the Cardinals in St. Louis is certainly not going to get any easier. San Francisco is 68-54 SU this year, including 31-31 SU on the road this season. The Giants are +6.45 and -9.88 units both SU and on the RL overall this year. Lefty Madison Bumgarner will take the ball tonight for San Francisco, as he is 4-4 with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.33 this season. The Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 Friday games. New York is 1-6 in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record. The Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 road games against a right-handed starter. New York is 21-7 in their last 28 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Giants are 4-1 in Bumgarner's last 5 road starts overall. San Francisco is 6-2 in Bumgarner's last 8 starts overall.

The Giants are 23-8 in their last 31 games against the National League Central. The Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a right-handed starter.

Pregame.com projects the final score to be 6-4 in favor of the St. Louis Cardinals. The OVER 8 runs is the Total of the Day!

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