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All eyes will be on the state of Texas Tuesday March 3 as the Senate primary votes are collected and counted.
The Democratic race is a tight one, but James Talarico’s lead in terms of odds has lengthened since late last week. The odds now imply a 64% probability of victory.
For the GOP primary, most polls are projecting a runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and challenger Ken Paxton, but the odds show Paxton as a massive favorite.
Paxton's margin of victory odds for 10 percent or higher have gone from 33/1 to 12/1, so people are betting on a potential landslide.
Texas Democratic Primary Winner
James Talarico 4/7 (-175)
Jasmine Crockett 7/5 (+140)
(NOTE: Odds equate to a 64% implied probability Talarico will win. He was 60% last week.)
Texas Democratic Primary - Margin of Victory
Talarico 0-2.49% (3/1)
Crockett 0-2.49% (4/1)
Talarico 2.50-4.99% (5/1)
Crockett 2.50-4.99% (7/1)
Talarico 5.00-7.49% (8/1)
Crockett 5.00-7.49% (9/1)
Talarico 7.50-9.99% (9/1)
Talarico 10% or Higher (9/1)
Crockett 7.50-9.99% (14/1)
Crockett 10% or Higher (15/1)
Texas Republican Primary Winner
Ken Paxton (1/7)
John Cornyn (4/1)
Wesley Hunt (33/1)
(NOTE: Odds equate to an 88% implied probability Paxton will win)
Texas Republican Primary - Margin of Victory
Paxton 2.50-4.99% (3/2)
Paxton 0-2.49% (3/1)
Paxton 5.00-7.49% (5/1)
Cornyn 0-2.49% (7/1)
Paxton 7.50-9.99% (8/1)
Paxton 10% or Higher (12/1)
Cornyn 2.50-4.99% (16/1)
Cornyn 5.00-7.49% (33/1)
Any Other Result (40/1)
Cornyn 7.50% or Higher (65/1)
- BetOnline Press
